Recent forecasts from models such as those used by the National Weather Service and European agencies indicate Amsterdam nighttime lows near 13–15°C on September 22, 2026, aligning with seasonal norms around 10–11°C but subject to rapid shifts from incoming Atlantic fronts. High pressure building westward supports mild conditions, while variable cloud cover and light winds could allow greater radiational cooling or trap heat, differentiating outcomes near the 7°C and 17°C thresholds. Ensemble spreads in short-range guidance reflect genuine uncertainty in steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture two days ahead, explaining the near-even market-implied odds between the extreme buckets as traders weigh the latest model runs against historical September variability. Updated forecasts from monitoring agencies will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 22?
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
14°C 39%
11°C 19%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 22, 2026
7°C or below
2%
8°C
5%
9°C
7%
10°C
11%
11°C
19%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
39%
15°C
19%
16°C
11%
17°C or higher
7%
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
14°C 39%
11°C 19%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 22, 2026
7°C or below
$0 Wol.
2%
8°C
$0 Wol.
5%
9°C
$0 Wol.
7%
10°C
$0 Wol.
11%
11°C
$0 Wol.
19%
12°C
$0 Wol.
40%
13°C
$0 Wol.
40%
14°C
$0 Wol.
39%
15°C
$0 Wol.
19%
16°C
$0 Wol.
11%
17°C or higher
$0 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as those used by the National Weather Service and European agencies indicate Amsterdam nighttime lows near 13–15°C on September 22, 2026, aligning with seasonal norms around 10–11°C but subject to rapid shifts from incoming Atlantic fronts. High pressure building westward supports mild conditions, while variable cloud cover and light winds could allow greater radiational cooling or trap heat, differentiating outcomes near the 7°C and 17°C thresholds. Ensemble spreads in short-range guidance reflect genuine uncertainty in steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture two days ahead, explaining the near-even market-implied odds between the extreme buckets as traders weigh the latest model runs against historical September variability. Updated forecasts from monitoring agencies will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as those used by the National Weather Service and European agencies indicate Amsterdam nighttime lows near 13–15°C on September 22, 2026, aligning with seasonal norms around 10–11°C but subject to rapid shifts from incoming Atlantic fronts. High pressure building westward supports mild conditions, while variable cloud cover and light winds could allow greater radiational cooling or trap heat, differentiating outcomes near the 7°C and 17°C thresholds. Ensemble spreads in short-range guidance reflect genuine uncertainty in steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture two days ahead, explaining the near-even market-implied odds between the extreme buckets as traders weigh the latest model runs against historical September variability. Updated forecasts from monitoring agencies will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models such as those used by the National Weather Service and European agencies indicate Amsterdam nighttime lows near 13–15°C on September 22, 2026, aligning with seasonal norms around 10–11°C but subject to rapid shifts from incoming Atlantic fronts. High pressure building westward supports mild conditions, while variable cloud cover and light winds could allow greater radiational cooling or trap heat, differentiating outcomes near the 7°C and 17°C thresholds. Ensemble spreads in short-range guidance reflect genuine uncertainty in steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture two days ahead, explaining the near-even market-implied odds between the extreme buckets as traders weigh the latest model runs against historical September variability. Updated forecasts from monitoring agencies will likely refine probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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