**Current short-range forecast models indicate overnight lows in Cape Town on September 5 will likely fall in the 10–13°C range under clearing skies after the passage of a cut-off low and associated cold front on September 3.** Southeasterly winds of 10–20 km/h, combined with dry air and minimal cloud cover, will promote radiative cooling typical of spring nights in the region. Official guidance from the South African Weather Service and global models such as ECMWF and GFS show some spread, with the coldest scenarios dipping to around 9–10°C if skies remain fully clear. This uncertainty, plus the proximity to market resolution, supports the elevated implied probability for 9°C or below while keeping single-degree outcomes clustered in the mid-20% range. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will be the key drivers of any shifts in trader positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on September 5?
9°C or below 95%
19°C or higher 59%
15°C 40%
17°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 5, 2026
9°C or below
95%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
28%
13°C
28%
14°C
26%
15°C
40%
16°C
2%
17°C
40%
18°C
33%
19°C or higher
59%
9°C or below 95%
19°C or higher 59%
15°C 40%
17°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 5, 2026
9°C or below
$0 Wol.
95%
10°C
$0 Wol.
26%
11°C
$0 Wol.
26%
12°C
$0 Wol.
28%
13°C
$0 Wol.
28%
14°C
$0 Wol.
26%
15°C
$0 Wol.
40%
16°C
$0 Wol.
2%
17°C
$0 Wol.
40%
18°C
$0 Wol.
33%
19°C or higher
$0 Wol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-range forecast models indicate overnight lows in Cape Town on September 5 will likely fall in the 10–13°C range under clearing skies after the passage of a cut-off low and associated cold front on September 3.** Southeasterly winds of 10–20 km/h, combined with dry air and minimal cloud cover, will promote radiative cooling typical of spring nights in the region. Official guidance from the South African Weather Service and global models such as ECMWF and GFS show some spread, with the coldest scenarios dipping to around 9–10°C if skies remain fully clear. This uncertainty, plus the proximity to market resolution, supports the elevated implied probability for 9°C or below while keeping single-degree outcomes clustered in the mid-20% range. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will be the key drivers of any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-range forecast models indicate overnight lows in Cape Town on September 5 will likely fall in the 10–13°C range under clearing skies after the passage of a cut-off low and associated cold front on September 3.** Southeasterly winds of 10–20 km/h, combined with dry air and minimal cloud cover, will promote radiative cooling typical of spring nights in the region. Official guidance from the South African Weather Service and global models such as ECMWF and GFS show some spread, with the coldest scenarios dipping to around 9–10°C if skies remain fully clear. This uncertainty, plus the proximity to market resolution, supports the elevated implied probability for 9°C or below while keeping single-degree outcomes clustered in the mid-20% range. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will be the key drivers of any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Current short-range forecast models indicate overnight lows in Cape Town on September 5 will likely fall in the 10–13°C range under clearing skies after the passage of a cut-off low and associated cold front on September 3.** Southeasterly winds of 10–20 km/h, combined with dry air and minimal cloud cover, will promote radiative cooling typical of spring nights in the region. Official guidance from the South African Weather Service and global models such as ECMWF and GFS show some spread, with the coldest scenarios dipping to around 9–10°C if skies remain fully clear. This uncertainty, plus the proximity to market resolution, supports the elevated implied probability for 9°C or below while keeping single-degree outcomes clustered in the mid-20% range. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will be the key drivers of any shifts in trader positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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