Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a Saturday low in Chicago near 70–74°F, driven by moderating air masses after midweek heat, northeast winds, and Lake Michigan's cooling influence that limits radiative cooling overnight. Partly cloudy skies with only a slight morning thunderstorm risk further support mid-70s readings rather than sharper drops, while historical September averages near 63°F underscore the current warmth. The closely matched market probabilities across 68–75°F bins reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in exact minimum timing and microscale lake-effect variations, with new model updates and official briefings expected to refine odds ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Chicago on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Chicago on September 5?
78-79°F 50%
65°F or below 49%
66-67°F 49%
76-77°F 49%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 5, 2026
65°F or below
49%
66-67°F
49%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
30%
76-77°F
49%
78-79°F
50%
80-81°F
28%
82-83°F
26%
84°F or higher
48%
78-79°F 50%
65°F or below 49%
66-67°F 49%
76-77°F 49%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 5, 2026
65°F or below
$0 Wol.
49%
66-67°F
$0 Wol.
49%
68-69°F
$0 Wol.
26%
70-71°F
$0 Wol.
26%
72-73°F
$0 Wol.
26%
74-75°F
$0 Wol.
30%
76-77°F
$0 Wol.
49%
78-79°F
$0 Wol.
50%
80-81°F
$0 Wol.
28%
82-83°F
$0 Wol.
26%
84°F or higher
$0 Wol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a Saturday low in Chicago near 70–74°F, driven by moderating air masses after midweek heat, northeast winds, and Lake Michigan's cooling influence that limits radiative cooling overnight. Partly cloudy skies with only a slight morning thunderstorm risk further support mid-70s readings rather than sharper drops, while historical September averages near 63°F underscore the current warmth. The closely matched market probabilities across 68–75°F bins reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in exact minimum timing and microscale lake-effect variations, with new model updates and official briefings expected to refine odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a Saturday low in Chicago near 70–74°F, driven by moderating air masses after midweek heat, northeast winds, and Lake Michigan's cooling influence that limits radiative cooling overnight. Partly cloudy skies with only a slight morning thunderstorm risk further support mid-70s readings rather than sharper drops, while historical September averages near 63°F underscore the current warmth. The closely matched market probabilities across 68–75°F bins reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in exact minimum timing and microscale lake-effect variations, with new model updates and official briefings expected to refine odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a Saturday low in Chicago near 70–74°F, driven by moderating air masses after midweek heat, northeast winds, and Lake Michigan's cooling influence that limits radiative cooling overnight. Partly cloudy skies with only a slight morning thunderstorm risk further support mid-70s readings rather than sharper drops, while historical September averages near 63°F underscore the current warmth. The closely matched market probabilities across 68–75°F bins reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in exact minimum timing and microscale lake-effect variations, with new model updates and official briefings expected to refine odds ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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