Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a minimum of 28°C for August 29 under mainly cloudy conditions with isolated showers and weak west-southwesterly winds, consistent with nearby model guidance showing overnight lows of 27–28°C amid high humidity near 90% and sea surface temperatures of 27°C. Persistent moist southwesterly flow and extensive cloud cover suppress nocturnal radiative cooling, while any breaks in cloud or lighter showers could allow slight further drops; conversely, ongoing convection or warmer advection would hold temperatures higher. This tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27–28°C reflects traders weighing the narrow range of forecast uncertainty in a stable, late-summer subtropical regime where daily minima typically vary by only 1–2°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 29?
27°C 40%
28°C 37%
26°C 17%
29°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
17%
27°C
40%
28°C
37%
29°C
9%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 40%
28°C 37%
26°C 17%
29°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
$120 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$24 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$24 Wol.
1%
25°C
$245 Wol.
5%
26°C
$549 Wol.
17%
27°C
$167 Wol.
40%
28°C
$951 Wol.
37%
29°C
$1,000 Wol.
9%
30°C
$227 Wol.
1%
31°C
$134 Wol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$249 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a minimum of 28°C for August 29 under mainly cloudy conditions with isolated showers and weak west-southwesterly winds, consistent with nearby model guidance showing overnight lows of 27–28°C amid high humidity near 90% and sea surface temperatures of 27°C. Persistent moist southwesterly flow and extensive cloud cover suppress nocturnal radiative cooling, while any breaks in cloud or lighter showers could allow slight further drops; conversely, ongoing convection or warmer advection would hold temperatures higher. This tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27–28°C reflects traders weighing the narrow range of forecast uncertainty in a stable, late-summer subtropical regime where daily minima typically vary by only 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,689Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a minimum of 28°C for August 29 under mainly cloudy conditions with isolated showers and weak west-southwesterly winds, consistent with nearby model guidance showing overnight lows of 27–28°C amid high humidity near 90% and sea surface temperatures of 27°C. Persistent moist southwesterly flow and extensive cloud cover suppress nocturnal radiative cooling, while any breaks in cloud or lighter showers could allow slight further drops; conversely, ongoing convection or warmer advection would hold temperatures higher. This tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27–28°C reflects traders weighing the narrow range of forecast uncertainty in a stable, late-summer subtropical regime where daily minima typically vary by only 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$3,689Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a minimum of 28°C for August 29 under mainly cloudy conditions with isolated showers and weak west-southwesterly winds, consistent with nearby model guidance showing overnight lows of 27–28°C amid high humidity near 90% and sea surface temperatures of 27°C. Persistent moist southwesterly flow and extensive cloud cover suppress nocturnal radiative cooling, while any breaks in cloud or lighter showers could allow slight further drops; conversely, ongoing convection or warmer advection would hold temperatures higher. This tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27–28°C reflects traders weighing the narrow range of forecast uncertainty in a stable, late-summer subtropical regime where daily minima typically vary by only 1–2°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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