Forecast consensus from regional models points to overnight minima in Jeddah of 29–32°C on August 28, driven by persistently high Red Sea sea-surface temperatures that limit radiative cooling and maintain elevated dew points near 24–27°C. Light winds and variable cloud cover reduce the potential for stronger nocturnal drops, while typical late-summer subsidence suppresses significant cooling. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30–32°C reflects this narrow range of model outcomes and the absence of disruptive synoptic features such as stronger onshore flow or increased moisture. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on precise humidity advection and boundary-layer mixing forecasts issued by agencies monitoring the area.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Jeddah on August 28?
31°C 46%
30°C 45%
28°C 44%
29°C 44%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
8%
27°C
13%
28°C
44%
29°C
44%
30°C
45%
31°C
46%
32°C
44%
33°C
44%
34°C
44%
35°C or higher
22%
31°C 46%
30°C 45%
28°C 44%
29°C 44%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
8%
27°C
13%
28°C
44%
29°C
44%
30°C
45%
31°C
46%
32°C
44%
33°C
44%
34°C
44%
35°C or higher
22%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from regional models points to overnight minima in Jeddah of 29–32°C on August 28, driven by persistently high Red Sea sea-surface temperatures that limit radiative cooling and maintain elevated dew points near 24–27°C. Light winds and variable cloud cover reduce the potential for stronger nocturnal drops, while typical late-summer subsidence suppresses significant cooling. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30–32°C reflects this narrow range of model outcomes and the absence of disruptive synoptic features such as stronger onshore flow or increased moisture. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on precise humidity advection and boundary-layer mixing forecasts issued by agencies monitoring the area.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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