The National Weather Service's daily climatological report for Central Park (KNYC ASOS station) confirms a minimum temperature of 42°F on April 25, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 42-43°F outcome on Polymarket. Cloudy conditions, light rain, and urban heat island effects limited nocturnal cooling, aligning with seasonal April norms where lows average around 45°F but vary with synoptic patterns like weak high pressure aloft. This observed data resolves prior forecast uncertainty from models showing 40-45°F ranges. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post-audit sensor correction by NOAA could alter it, as preliminary CLI summaries rarely change. Final certification expected within days.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in NYC on April 25?
Lowest temperature in NYC on April 25?
42-43°F 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$39,408 Wol.
$39,408 Wol.
Apr 25, 2026
37°F or below
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
Yes
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56°F or higher
No
42-43°F 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$39,408 Wol.
$39,408 Wol.
Apr 25, 2026
37°F or below
$1,083 Wol.
No
38-39°F
$9,325 Wol.
No
40-41°F
$3,435 Wol.
No
42-43°F
$6,408 Wol.
Yes
44-45°F
$2,361 Wol.
No
46-47°F
$2,009 Wol.
No
48-49°F
$2,740 Wol.
No
50-51°F
$3,271 Wol.
No
52-53°F
$2,103 Wol.
No
54-55°F
$3,888 Wol.
No
56°F or higher
$2,786 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's daily climatological report for Central Park (KNYC ASOS station) confirms a minimum temperature of 42°F on April 25, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 42-43°F outcome on Polymarket. Cloudy conditions, light rain, and urban heat island effects limited nocturnal cooling, aligning with seasonal April norms where lows average around 45°F but vary with synoptic patterns like weak high pressure aloft. This observed data resolves prior forecast uncertainty from models showing 40-45°F ranges. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post-audit sensor correction by NOAA could alter it, as preliminary CLI summaries rarely change. Final certification expected within days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$39,408Data zakończenia
Apr 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's daily climatological report for Central Park (KNYC ASOS station) confirms a minimum temperature of 42°F on April 25, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 42-43°F outcome on Polymarket. Cloudy conditions, light rain, and urban heat island effects limited nocturnal cooling, aligning with seasonal April norms where lows average around 45°F but vary with synoptic patterns like weak high pressure aloft. This observed data resolves prior forecast uncertainty from models showing 40-45°F ranges. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post-audit sensor correction by NOAA could alter it, as preliminary CLI summaries rarely change. Final certification expected within days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$39,408Data zakończenia
Apr 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The National Weather Service's daily climatological report for Central Park (KNYC ASOS station) confirms a minimum temperature of 42°F on April 25, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 42-43°F outcome on Polymarket. Cloudy conditions, light rain, and urban heat island effects limited nocturnal cooling, aligning with seasonal April norms where lows average around 45°F but vary with synoptic patterns like weak high pressure aloft. This observed data resolves prior forecast uncertainty from models showing 40-45°F ranges. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post-audit sensor correction by NOAA could alter it, as preliminary CLI summaries rarely change. Final certification expected within days.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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