Trader consensus centers on 64–67°F minimums in Central Park as the primary driver, reflecting the latest NWS and ensemble model runs that show a cooler air mass advecting into the region with light westerly winds and partly cloudy skies overnight into August 25. These conditions favor radiative cooling while the urban heat island and typical August dew points limit further drops, consistent with recent below-normal lows in the mid-60s after warmer mid-August readings. Model spread arises mainly from variable cloud cover and exact wind timing, which can shift the minimum by 2–3°F. NOAA and NWS updates through the evening of August 24 will refine the outlook ahead of official resolution based on verified observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in NYC on August 25?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 25?
64-65°F 37%
66-67°F 28%
68-69°F 21%
62-63°F 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
53°F or below
2%
54-55°F
2%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
4%
60-61°F
7%
62-63°F
12%
64-65°F
37%
66-67°F
28%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
8%
72°F or higher
11%
64-65°F 37%
66-67°F 28%
68-69°F 21%
62-63°F 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
53°F or below
$5 Wol.
2%
54-55°F
$5 Wol.
2%
56-57°F
$10 Wol.
2%
58-59°F
$10 Wol.
4%
60-61°F
$82 Wol.
7%
62-63°F
$109 Wol.
12%
64-65°F
$10 Wol.
37%
66-67°F
$62 Wol.
28%
68-69°F
$173 Wol.
21%
70-71°F
$0 Wol.
8%
72°F or higher
$10 Wol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 64–67°F minimums in Central Park as the primary driver, reflecting the latest NWS and ensemble model runs that show a cooler air mass advecting into the region with light westerly winds and partly cloudy skies overnight into August 25. These conditions favor radiative cooling while the urban heat island and typical August dew points limit further drops, consistent with recent below-normal lows in the mid-60s after warmer mid-August readings. Model spread arises mainly from variable cloud cover and exact wind timing, which can shift the minimum by 2–3°F. NOAA and NWS updates through the evening of August 24 will refine the outlook ahead of official resolution based on verified observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Wolumen
$476Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 64–67°F minimums in Central Park as the primary driver, reflecting the latest NWS and ensemble model runs that show a cooler air mass advecting into the region with light westerly winds and partly cloudy skies overnight into August 25. These conditions favor radiative cooling while the urban heat island and typical August dew points limit further drops, consistent with recent below-normal lows in the mid-60s after warmer mid-August readings. Model spread arises mainly from variable cloud cover and exact wind timing, which can shift the minimum by 2–3°F. NOAA and NWS updates through the evening of August 24 will refine the outlook ahead of official resolution based on verified observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$476Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 64–67°F minimums in Central Park as the primary driver, reflecting the latest NWS and ensemble model runs that show a cooler air mass advecting into the region with light westerly winds and partly cloudy skies overnight into August 25. These conditions favor radiative cooling while the urban heat island and typical August dew points limit further drops, consistent with recent below-normal lows in the mid-60s after warmer mid-August readings. Model spread arises mainly from variable cloud cover and exact wind timing, which can shift the minimum by 2–3°F. NOAA and NWS updates through the evening of August 24 will refine the outlook ahead of official resolution based on verified observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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