Official National Weather Service observations from the primary New York City station recorded a daily minimum of 66–67°F on June 15, 2026, anchoring the market at 100% probability for that bin. This outcome aligns with the observed nocturnal cooling under clear skies and light winds typical of mid-June high-pressure ridging, where radiative heat loss produced lows near the seasonal average of 62–68°F at LaGuardia. Model guidance from the prior 48 hours showed tight consensus around this range with minimal spread, confirming the result before final verification. Only a rare station calibration error or unreported microclimate anomaly at the official site could alter resolution, both of which fall well outside historical precedent for this market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in NYC on June 15?
Lowest temperature in NYC on June 15?
66-67°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$29,328 Wol.
$29,328 Wol.
Jun 15, 2026
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
Yes
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
66-67°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$29,328 Wol.
$29,328 Wol.
Jun 15, 2026
55°F or below
$2,776 Wol.
No
56-57°F
$3,412 Wol.
No
58-59°F
$3,667 Wol.
No
60-61°F
$1,961 Wol.
No
62-63°F
$1,518 Wol.
No
64-65°F
$1,431 Wol.
No
66-67°F
$2,184 Wol.
Yes
68-69°F
$1,365 Wol.
No
70-71°F
$3,853 Wol.
No
72-73°F
$3,551 Wol.
No
74°F or higher
$3,609 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from the primary New York City station recorded a daily minimum of 66–67°F on June 15, 2026, anchoring the market at 100% probability for that bin. This outcome aligns with the observed nocturnal cooling under clear skies and light winds typical of mid-June high-pressure ridging, where radiative heat loss produced lows near the seasonal average of 62–68°F at LaGuardia. Model guidance from the prior 48 hours showed tight consensus around this range with minimal spread, confirming the result before final verification. Only a rare station calibration error or unreported microclimate anomaly at the official site could alter resolution, both of which fall well outside historical precedent for this market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Wolumen
$29,328Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from the primary New York City station recorded a daily minimum of 66–67°F on June 15, 2026, anchoring the market at 100% probability for that bin. This outcome aligns with the observed nocturnal cooling under clear skies and light winds typical of mid-June high-pressure ridging, where radiative heat loss produced lows near the seasonal average of 62–68°F at LaGuardia. Model guidance from the prior 48 hours showed tight consensus around this range with minimal spread, confirming the result before final verification. Only a rare station calibration error or unreported microclimate anomaly at the official site could alter resolution, both of which fall well outside historical precedent for this market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$29,328Data zakończenia
Jun 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official National Weather Service observations from the primary New York City station recorded a daily minimum of 66–67°F on June 15, 2026, anchoring the market at 100% probability for that bin. This outcome aligns with the observed nocturnal cooling under clear skies and light winds typical of mid-June high-pressure ridging, where radiative heat loss produced lows near the seasonal average of 62–68°F at LaGuardia. Model guidance from the prior 48 hours showed tight consensus around this range with minimal spread, confirming the result before final verification. Only a rare station calibration error or unreported microclimate anomaly at the official site could alter resolution, both of which fall well outside historical precedent for this market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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