Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in New York City on June 23 centers on overnight lows clustered around 62–69°F, reflecting tight forecast spreads from numerical weather models. These probabilities arise primarily from expected radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, with light northerly winds and moderate humidity limiting sharp drops below the seasonal norm of roughly 65°F. Slight differences among leading outcomes stem from model variations in cloud cover timing and thickness, which control how much longwave radiation escapes to space overnight, as well as the strength of the urban heat island effect that retains warmth within the city. Proximity to the Atlantic further moderates extremes through marine air influence. With resolution hinging on the official minimum recorded at Central Park or equivalent stations, traders are weighting the balance between potential clearer periods favoring the lower 60s and lingering moisture keeping readings nearer 68–69°F.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in NYC on June 23?
68-69°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$32,782 Wol.
$32,782 Wol.
59°F or below
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78°F or higher
No
68-69°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$32,782 Wol.
$32,782 Wol.
59°F or below
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 21, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in New York City on June 23 centers on overnight lows clustered around 62–69°F, reflecting tight forecast spreads from numerical weather models. These probabilities arise primarily from expected radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, with light northerly winds and moderate humidity limiting sharp drops below the seasonal norm of roughly 65°F. Slight differences among leading outcomes stem from model variations in cloud cover timing and thickness, which control how much longwave radiation escapes to space overnight, as well as the strength of the urban heat island effect that retains warmth within the city. Proximity to the Atlantic further moderates extremes through marine air influence. With resolution hinging on the official minimum recorded at Central Park or equivalent stations, traders are weighting the balance between potential clearer periods favoring the lower 60s and lingering moisture keeping readings nearer 68–69°F.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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