Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park, New York City's primary recording station, confirm the lowest temperature on May 3 reached 46-47°F, aligning precisely with NOAA's verified automated measurements and driving 100% market-implied probability for that outcome among traders risking real capital. This positioning reflects preliminary daily climate data released shortly after midnight on May 4, captured amid clear skies and light winds favoring radiational cooling typical for early May under high-pressure influence. While post-event certainty is near-absolute, realistic challenges could arise from rare quality-control revisions—such as sensor recalibrations or supplemental airport data (e.g., from LaGuardia or JFK) revealing a lower regional minimum—though historical precedents show such adjustments occur in under 1% of cases. Final validated records expected within 24-48 hours.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in NYC on May 3?
Lowest temperature in NYC on May 3?
46-47°F 100%
35°F or below <1%
36-37°F <1%
38-39°F <1%
$40,623 Wol.
$40,623 Wol.
May 3, 2026
35°F or below
No
36-37°F
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
Yes
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54°F or higher
No
46-47°F 100%
35°F or below <1%
36-37°F <1%
38-39°F <1%
$40,623 Wol.
$40,623 Wol.
May 3, 2026
35°F or below
$16,680 Wol.
No
36-37°F
$3,756 Wol.
No
38-39°F
$1,674 Wol.
No
40-41°F
$1,543 Wol.
No
42-43°F
$1,436 Wol.
No
44-45°F
$1,947 Wol.
No
46-47°F
$4,245 Wol.
Yes
48-49°F
$1,335 Wol.
No
50-51°F
$2,431 Wol.
No
52-53°F
$3,992 Wol.
No
54°F or higher
$1,585 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park, New York City's primary recording station, confirm the lowest temperature on May 3 reached 46-47°F, aligning precisely with NOAA's verified automated measurements and driving 100% market-implied probability for that outcome among traders risking real capital. This positioning reflects preliminary daily climate data released shortly after midnight on May 4, captured amid clear skies and light winds favoring radiational cooling typical for early May under high-pressure influence. While post-event certainty is near-absolute, realistic challenges could arise from rare quality-control revisions—such as sensor recalibrations or supplemental airport data (e.g., from LaGuardia or JFK) revealing a lower regional minimum—though historical precedents show such adjustments occur in under 1% of cases. Final validated records expected within 24-48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 1, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Wolumen
$40,623Data zakończenia
May 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 1, 2026, 12:01 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park, New York City's primary recording station, confirm the lowest temperature on May 3 reached 46-47°F, aligning precisely with NOAA's verified automated measurements and driving 100% market-implied probability for that outcome among traders risking real capital. This positioning reflects preliminary daily climate data released shortly after midnight on May 4, captured amid clear skies and light winds favoring radiational cooling typical for early May under high-pressure influence. While post-event certainty is near-absolute, realistic challenges could arise from rare quality-control revisions—such as sensor recalibrations or supplemental airport data (e.g., from LaGuardia or JFK) revealing a lower regional minimum—though historical precedents show such adjustments occur in under 1% of cases. Final validated records expected within 24-48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$40,623Data zakończenia
May 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 1, 2026, 12:01 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park, New York City's primary recording station, confirm the lowest temperature on May 3 reached 46-47°F, aligning precisely with NOAA's verified automated measurements and driving 100% market-implied probability for that outcome among traders risking real capital. This positioning reflects preliminary daily climate data released shortly after midnight on May 4, captured amid clear skies and light winds favoring radiational cooling typical for early May under high-pressure influence. While post-event certainty is near-absolute, realistic challenges could arise from rare quality-control revisions—such as sensor recalibrations or supplemental airport data (e.g., from LaGuardia or JFK) revealing a lower regional minimum—though historical precedents show such adjustments occur in under 1% of cases. Final validated records expected within 24-48 hours.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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