**Current forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models indicate an overnight minimum near 16–17°C for Paris on June 17 under clear skies and a strengthening heatwave pattern, with daytime highs climbing to 32–33°C.** This scientific consensus—rooted in observed warming trends, stable high-pressure steering, and minimal overnight radiative cooling—drives the market's overwhelming 99.6% implied probability on the 16°C outcome. Historical June climatology supports such mild lows during early-season heat episodes, while model agreement reduces forecast spread. A realistic challenge would require an unpredicted late surge in northerly flow, increased cloud cover, or station-specific measurement variance that shifts the official recorded minimum outside the narrow band.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Paris on June 17?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 17?
16°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$15,911 Wol.
$15,911 Wol.
Jun 17, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$15,911 Wol.
$15,911 Wol.
Jun 17, 2026
13°C or below
$1,350 Wol.
No
14°C
$1,402 Wol.
No
15°C
$1,708 Wol.
No
16°C
$2,331 Wol.
Yes
17°C
$1,684 Wol.
No
18°C
$2,891 Wol.
No
19°C
$3,161 Wol.
No
20°C
$484 Wol.
No
21°C
$290 Wol.
No
22°C
$305 Wol.
No
23°C or higher
$305 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models indicate an overnight minimum near 16–17°C for Paris on June 17 under clear skies and a strengthening heatwave pattern, with daytime highs climbing to 32–33°C.** This scientific consensus—rooted in observed warming trends, stable high-pressure steering, and minimal overnight radiative cooling—drives the market's overwhelming 99.6% implied probability on the 16°C outcome. Historical June climatology supports such mild lows during early-season heat episodes, while model agreement reduces forecast spread. A realistic challenge would require an unpredicted late surge in northerly flow, increased cloud cover, or station-specific measurement variance that shifts the official recorded minimum outside the narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$15,911Data zakończenia
Jun 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models indicate an overnight minimum near 16–17°C for Paris on June 17 under clear skies and a strengthening heatwave pattern, with daytime highs climbing to 32–33°C.** This scientific consensus—rooted in observed warming trends, stable high-pressure steering, and minimal overnight radiative cooling—drives the market's overwhelming 99.6% implied probability on the 16°C outcome. Historical June climatology supports such mild lows during early-season heat episodes, while model agreement reduces forecast spread. A realistic challenge would require an unpredicted late surge in northerly flow, increased cloud cover, or station-specific measurement variance that shifts the official recorded minimum outside the narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$15,911Data zakończenia
Jun 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
**Current forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models indicate an overnight minimum near 16–17°C for Paris on June 17 under clear skies and a strengthening heatwave pattern, with daytime highs climbing to 32–33°C.** This scientific consensus—rooted in observed warming trends, stable high-pressure steering, and minimal overnight radiative cooling—drives the market's overwhelming 99.6% implied probability on the 16°C outcome. Historical June climatology supports such mild lows during early-season heat episodes, while model agreement reduces forecast spread. A realistic challenge would require an unpredicted late surge in northerly flow, increased cloud cover, or station-specific measurement variance that shifts the official recorded minimum outside the narrow band.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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