Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a minimum temperature for Qingdao on August 27 around 25–26°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light variable winds, and moderate humidity limiting overnight radiative cooling along the Yellow Sea coast. Scattered showers with 15–40% probability in some runs could enhance cooling through evaporative effects, while historical August averages near 22°C provide climatological context for the spread. Trader consensus places the highest implied probability on 22°C or below, reflecting uncertainty in the final hours before resolution and potential model divergence on exact steering patterns or precipitation timing. Upcoming overnight observations and updated regional guidance will likely refine these market-implied odds before the period closes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 27?
22°C or below 75%
24°C 27%
25°C 27%
27°C 27%
22°C or below
75%
23°C
21%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
26%
27°C
27%
28°C
14%
29°C
2%
30°C
11%
31°C
11%
32°C or higher
6%
22°C or below 75%
24°C 27%
25°C 27%
27°C 27%
22°C or below
75%
23°C
21%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
26%
27°C
27%
28°C
14%
29°C
2%
30°C
11%
31°C
11%
32°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 25, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a minimum temperature for Qingdao on August 27 around 25–26°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light variable winds, and moderate humidity limiting overnight radiative cooling along the Yellow Sea coast. Scattered showers with 15–40% probability in some runs could enhance cooling through evaporative effects, while historical August averages near 22°C provide climatological context for the spread. Trader consensus places the highest implied probability on 22°C or below, reflecting uncertainty in the final hours before resolution and potential model divergence on exact steering patterns or precipitation timing. Upcoming overnight observations and updated regional guidance will likely refine these market-implied odds before the period closes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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