The overwhelming 100% market-implied probability for a 17°C low in Seoul on May 31 stems from tight consensus across Korea Meteorological Administration and international model runs, which project this exact overnight minimum under clear to partly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and typical late-May radiative cooling with humidity near 60%. These conditions favor efficient surface heat loss without significant advection or cloud cover to moderate temperatures. Historical climatology for the period shows average lows around 14–16°C, but current atmospheric setup aligns closely with 17°C. Minor shifts in boundary-layer mixing, localized urban heat-island effects at the official station, or last-hour forecast adjustments could realistically produce a 16°C or 18°C reading and alter resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seoul on May 31?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 31?
17°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$42,725 Wol.
$42,725 Wol.
May 31, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$42,725 Wol.
$42,725 Wol.
May 31, 2026
13°C or below
$3,311 Wol.
No
14°C
$2,451 Wol.
No
15°C
$3,491 Wol.
No
16°C
$11,116 Wol.
No
17°C
$14,814 Wol.
Yes
18°C
$2,515 Wol.
No
19°C
$792 Wol.
No
20°C
$755 Wol.
No
21°C
$363 Wol.
No
22°C
$398 Wol.
No
23°C or higher
$2,719 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The overwhelming 100% market-implied probability for a 17°C low in Seoul on May 31 stems from tight consensus across Korea Meteorological Administration and international model runs, which project this exact overnight minimum under clear to partly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and typical late-May radiative cooling with humidity near 60%. These conditions favor efficient surface heat loss without significant advection or cloud cover to moderate temperatures. Historical climatology for the period shows average lows around 14–16°C, but current atmospheric setup aligns closely with 17°C. Minor shifts in boundary-layer mixing, localized urban heat-island effects at the official station, or last-hour forecast adjustments could realistically produce a 16°C or 18°C reading and alter resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: May 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$42,725Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The overwhelming 100% market-implied probability for a 17°C low in Seoul on May 31 stems from tight consensus across Korea Meteorological Administration and international model runs, which project this exact overnight minimum under clear to partly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and typical late-May radiative cooling with humidity near 60%. These conditions favor efficient surface heat loss without significant advection or cloud cover to moderate temperatures. Historical climatology for the period shows average lows around 14–16°C, but current atmospheric setup aligns closely with 17°C. Minor shifts in boundary-layer mixing, localized urban heat-island effects at the official station, or last-hour forecast adjustments could realistically produce a 16°C or 18°C reading and alter resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$42,725Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The overwhelming 100% market-implied probability for a 17°C low in Seoul on May 31 stems from tight consensus across Korea Meteorological Administration and international model runs, which project this exact overnight minimum under clear to partly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and typical late-May radiative cooling with humidity near 60%. These conditions favor efficient surface heat loss without significant advection or cloud cover to moderate temperatures. Historical climatology for the period shows average lows around 14–16°C, but current atmospheric setup aligns closely with 17°C. Minor shifts in boundary-layer mixing, localized urban heat-island effects at the official station, or last-hour forecast adjustments could realistically produce a 16°C or 18°C reading and alter resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania