Current forecast models for Shanghai indicate overnight lows most likely in the 24–26°C range on July 3, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon flow, high humidity above 75%, and light southerly winds limiting radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows stable warm conditions following the end of the plum rain period, with historical July minimum averages near 25°C and limited variability from typical steering patterns. Recent model runs suggest modest cloud cover or scattered showers could cap any further warming, while uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage keeps probabilities spread across the mid-20s outcomes. Updated short-range forecasts and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on July 3?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on July 3?
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$35,137 Wol.
$35,137 Wol.
Jul 3, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$35,137 Wol.
$35,137 Wol.
Jul 3, 2026
20°C or below
$1,840 Wol.
No
21°C
$1,111 Wol.
No
22°C
$879 Wol.
No
23°C
$4,247 Wol.
No
24°C
$8,088 Wol.
No
25°C
$6,147 Wol.
Yes
26°C
$2,807 Wol.
No
27°C
$2,151 Wol.
No
28°C
$2,532 Wol.
No
29°C
$2,478 Wol.
No
30°C or higher
$2,857 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Shanghai indicate overnight lows most likely in the 24–26°C range on July 3, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon flow, high humidity above 75%, and light southerly winds limiting radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows stable warm conditions following the end of the plum rain period, with historical July minimum averages near 25°C and limited variability from typical steering patterns. Recent model runs suggest modest cloud cover or scattered showers could cap any further warming, while uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage keeps probabilities spread across the mid-20s outcomes. Updated short-range forecasts and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$35,137Data zakończenia
Jul 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Shanghai indicate overnight lows most likely in the 24–26°C range on July 3, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon flow, high humidity above 75%, and light southerly winds limiting radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows stable warm conditions following the end of the plum rain period, with historical July minimum averages near 25°C and limited variability from typical steering patterns. Recent model runs suggest modest cloud cover or scattered showers could cap any further warming, while uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage keeps probabilities spread across the mid-20s outcomes. Updated short-range forecasts and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$35,137Data zakończenia
Jul 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Current forecast models for Shanghai indicate overnight lows most likely in the 24–26°C range on July 3, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon flow, high humidity above 75%, and light southerly winds limiting radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows stable warm conditions following the end of the plum rain period, with historical July minimum averages near 25°C and limited variability from typical steering patterns. Recent model runs suggest modest cloud cover or scattered showers could cap any further warming, while uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage keeps probabilities spread across the mid-20s outcomes. Updated short-range forecasts and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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