Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, have converged on an overnight low of 23°C for Shanghai amid persistent Meiyu (plum rain) conditions characterized by extensive cloud cover, high humidity, and light winds that limit radiational cooling. These stable atmospheric conditions, typical for mid-June in the region, suppress temperature variability and anchor the minimum near the climatological average for the date. Trader consensus has rapidly consolidated around this outcome as model agreement tightened within the final 24–48 hours. A sudden reduction in cloud cover or shift in steering winds could allow greater nighttime cooling or slight warming, potentially shifting the low by 1–2°C and reopening lower-probability brackets.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 17?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 17?
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$17,915 Wol.
$17,915 Wol.
Jun 17, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$17,915 Wol.
$17,915 Wol.
Jun 17, 2026
18°C or below
$1,680 Wol.
No
19°C
$1,197 Wol.
No
20°C
$825 Wol.
No
21°C
$2,083 Wol.
No
22°C
$2,391 Wol.
No
23°C
$5,811 Wol.
Yes
24°C
$1,772 Wol.
No
25°C
$875 Wol.
No
26°C
$595 Wol.
No
27°C
$519 Wol.
No
28°C or higher
$165 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, have converged on an overnight low of 23°C for Shanghai amid persistent Meiyu (plum rain) conditions characterized by extensive cloud cover, high humidity, and light winds that limit radiational cooling. These stable atmospheric conditions, typical for mid-June in the region, suppress temperature variability and anchor the minimum near the climatological average for the date. Trader consensus has rapidly consolidated around this outcome as model agreement tightened within the final 24–48 hours. A sudden reduction in cloud cover or shift in steering winds could allow greater nighttime cooling or slight warming, potentially shifting the low by 1–2°C and reopening lower-probability brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$17,915Data zakończenia
Jun 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, have converged on an overnight low of 23°C for Shanghai amid persistent Meiyu (plum rain) conditions characterized by extensive cloud cover, high humidity, and light winds that limit radiational cooling. These stable atmospheric conditions, typical for mid-June in the region, suppress temperature variability and anchor the minimum near the climatological average for the date. Trader consensus has rapidly consolidated around this outcome as model agreement tightened within the final 24–48 hours. A sudden reduction in cloud cover or shift in steering winds could allow greater nighttime cooling or slight warming, potentially shifting the low by 1–2°C and reopening lower-probability brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$17,915Data zakończenia
Jun 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, have converged on an overnight low of 23°C for Shanghai amid persistent Meiyu (plum rain) conditions characterized by extensive cloud cover, high humidity, and light winds that limit radiational cooling. These stable atmospheric conditions, typical for mid-June in the region, suppress temperature variability and anchor the minimum near the climatological average for the date. Trader consensus has rapidly consolidated around this outcome as model agreement tightened within the final 24–48 hours. A sudden reduction in cloud cover or shift in steering winds could allow greater nighttime cooling or slight warming, potentially shifting the low by 1–2°C and reopening lower-probability brackets.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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