**Strong model consensus and official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services underpin the near-certain 22°C low for Shanghai on September 21, 2026.** Multiple runs project overnight temperatures bottoming near 22°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and moderate humidity around 70-85%, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Current observations and short-range guidance show minimal deviation risk, with highs near 28-29°C earlier in the day providing little overnight cooling momentum. Traders assign only marginal probability to 21°C or lower, reflecting typical forecast error margins of 1°C or station-specific measurement differences. An unexpected surge in cloud cover or a sharper wind shift could still nudge readings slightly, though such shifts appear unlikely before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 21?
22°C 99%
21°C 2%
20°C <1%
17°C or below <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 21, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
99%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 99%
21°C 2%
20°C <1%
17°C or below <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 21, 2026
17°C or below
$37 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$31 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$36 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$265 Wol.
1%
21°C
$382 Wol.
2%
22°C
$2,001 Wol.
99%
23°C
$3,174 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$459 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$36 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$36 Wol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$838 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong model consensus and official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services underpin the near-certain 22°C low for Shanghai on September 21, 2026.** Multiple runs project overnight temperatures bottoming near 22°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and moderate humidity around 70-85%, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Current observations and short-range guidance show minimal deviation risk, with highs near 28-29°C earlier in the day providing little overnight cooling momentum. Traders assign only marginal probability to 21°C or lower, reflecting typical forecast error margins of 1°C or station-specific measurement differences. An unexpected surge in cloud cover or a sharper wind shift could still nudge readings slightly, though such shifts appear unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$7,294Data zakończenia
Sep 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong model consensus and official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services underpin the near-certain 22°C low for Shanghai on September 21, 2026.** Multiple runs project overnight temperatures bottoming near 22°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and moderate humidity around 70-85%, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Current observations and short-range guidance show minimal deviation risk, with highs near 28-29°C earlier in the day providing little overnight cooling momentum. Traders assign only marginal probability to 21°C or lower, reflecting typical forecast error margins of 1°C or station-specific measurement differences. An unexpected surge in cloud cover or a sharper wind shift could still nudge readings slightly, though such shifts appear unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$7,294Data zakończenia
Sep 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Strong model consensus and official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services underpin the near-certain 22°C low for Shanghai on September 21, 2026.** Multiple runs project overnight temperatures bottoming near 22°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and moderate humidity around 70-85%, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Current observations and short-range guidance show minimal deviation risk, with highs near 28-29°C earlier in the day providing little overnight cooling momentum. Traders assign only marginal probability to 21°C or lower, reflecting typical forecast error margins of 1°C or station-specific measurement differences. An unexpected surge in cloud cover or a sharper wind shift could still nudge readings slightly, though such shifts appear unlikely before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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