**Trader sentiment strongly favors a 24°C low in Shanghai on June 18, 2026, reflecting consistent forecast guidance and typical mid-June climatology.** Official and model outputs from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate project an overnight minimum near 24–25°C (76°F), driven by the East Asian summer monsoon’s warm, humid air mass, high dew points, and limited radiational cooling under cloudy or overcast conditions. Historical baselines for Shanghai in mid-June show average lows of 21–24°C, with recent observations (June 16–17) recording minima around 22–23°C before a slight uptick. No significant cold advection, frontal passage, or clear-sky radiative cooling event has appeared in the latest model runs, keeping probabilities for 23°C or below under 12% combined. With resolution imminent on the same calendar day, traders have converged on the 24°C outcome at 90% implied probability, consistent with the narrow uncertainty band in current guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 18?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 18?
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$35,998 Wol.
$35,998 Wol.
Jun 18, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$35,998 Wol.
$35,998 Wol.
Jun 18, 2026
19°C or below
$1,643 Wol.
No
20°C
$2,171 Wol.
No
21°C
$1,519 Wol.
No
22°C
$3,568 Wol.
No
23°C
$14,005 Wol.
No
24°C
$8,590 Wol.
Yes
25°C
$2,271 Wol.
No
26°C
$1,065 Wol.
No
27°C
$398 Wol.
No
28°C
$403 Wol.
No
29°C or higher
$363 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment strongly favors a 24°C low in Shanghai on June 18, 2026, reflecting consistent forecast guidance and typical mid-June climatology.**
Official and model outputs from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate project an overnight minimum near 24–25°C (76°F), driven by the East Asian summer monsoon’s warm, humid air mass, high dew points, and limited radiational cooling under cloudy or overcast conditions. Historical baselines for Shanghai in mid-June show average lows of 21–24°C, with recent observations (June 16–17) recording minima around 22–23°C before a slight uptick. No significant cold advection, frontal passage, or clear-sky radiative cooling event has appeared in the latest model runs, keeping probabilities for 23°C or below under 12% combined.
With resolution imminent on the same calendar day, traders have converged on the 24°C outcome at 90% implied probability, consistent with the narrow uncertainty band in current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$35,998Data zakończenia
Jun 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment strongly favors a 24°C low in Shanghai on June 18, 2026, reflecting consistent forecast guidance and typical mid-June climatology.**
Official and model outputs from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate project an overnight minimum near 24–25°C (76°F), driven by the East Asian summer monsoon’s warm, humid air mass, high dew points, and limited radiational cooling under cloudy or overcast conditions. Historical baselines for Shanghai in mid-June show average lows of 21–24°C, with recent observations (June 16–17) recording minima around 22–23°C before a slight uptick. No significant cold advection, frontal passage, or clear-sky radiative cooling event has appeared in the latest model runs, keeping probabilities for 23°C or below under 12% combined.
With resolution imminent on the same calendar day, traders have converged on the 24°C outcome at 90% implied probability, consistent with the narrow uncertainty band in current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$35,998Data zakończenia
Jun 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
**Trader sentiment strongly favors a 24°C low in Shanghai on June 18, 2026, reflecting consistent forecast guidance and typical mid-June climatology.** Official and model outputs from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate project an overnight minimum near 24–25°C (76°F), driven by the East Asian summer monsoon’s warm, humid air mass, high dew points, and limited radiational cooling under cloudy or overcast conditions. Historical baselines for Shanghai in mid-June show average lows of 21–24°C, with recent observations (June 16–17) recording minima around 22–23°C before a slight uptick. No significant cold advection, frontal passage, or clear-sky radiative cooling event has appeared in the latest model runs, keeping probabilities for 23°C or below under 12% combined. With resolution imminent on the same calendar day, traders have converged on the 24°C outcome at 90% implied probability, consistent with the narrow uncertainty band in current guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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