Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF point to a meiyu (plum rain) front maintaining extensive cloud cover and scattered showers over Shanghai through June 23, limiting radiative cooling and holding the overnight low near 22°C—the market’s leading outcome at 34% implied probability. Persistent humidity and light easterly flow typical of the East Asian summer monsoon further compress the diurnal range, favoring 22–23°C readings while keeping odds for 17°C or below at 22% only if stronger northerly advection develops. Historical June climatology shows average lows of 21–23°C under similar conditions, with traders weighting the latest ensemble consensus and any NMC updates expected before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 23?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 23?
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$26,890 Wol.
$26,890 Wol.
Jun 23, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$26,890 Wol.
$26,890 Wol.
Jun 23, 2026
17°C or below
$372 Wol.
No
18°C
$746 Wol.
No
19°C
$774 Wol.
No
20°C
$969 Wol.
No
21°C
$3,554 Wol.
No
22°C
$9,036 Wol.
Yes
23°C
$7,019 Wol.
No
24°C
$2,771 Wol.
No
25°C
$579 Wol.
No
26°C
$715 Wol.
No
27°C or higher
$353 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF point to a meiyu (plum rain) front maintaining extensive cloud cover and scattered showers over Shanghai through June 23, limiting radiative cooling and holding the overnight low near 22°C—the market’s leading outcome at 34% implied probability. Persistent humidity and light easterly flow typical of the East Asian summer monsoon further compress the diurnal range, favoring 22–23°C readings while keeping odds for 17°C or below at 22% only if stronger northerly advection develops. Historical June climatology shows average lows of 21–23°C under similar conditions, with traders weighting the latest ensemble consensus and any NMC updates expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$26,890Data zakończenia
Jun 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF point to a meiyu (plum rain) front maintaining extensive cloud cover and scattered showers over Shanghai through June 23, limiting radiative cooling and holding the overnight low near 22°C—the market’s leading outcome at 34% implied probability. Persistent humidity and light easterly flow typical of the East Asian summer monsoon further compress the diurnal range, favoring 22–23°C readings while keeping odds for 17°C or below at 22% only if stronger northerly advection develops. Historical June climatology shows average lows of 21–23°C under similar conditions, with traders weighting the latest ensemble consensus and any NMC updates expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$26,890Data zakończenia
Jun 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF point to a meiyu (plum rain) front maintaining extensive cloud cover and scattered showers over Shanghai through June 23, limiting radiative cooling and holding the overnight low near 22°C—the market’s leading outcome at 34% implied probability. Persistent humidity and light easterly flow typical of the East Asian summer monsoon further compress the diurnal range, favoring 22–23°C readings while keeping odds for 17°C or below at 22% only if stronger northerly advection develops. Historical June climatology shows average lows of 21–23°C under similar conditions, with traders weighting the latest ensemble consensus and any NMC updates expected before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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