**Recent forecast models for Shanghai on September 2, 2026, center the overnight low near 25–27°C amid widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and heavy rain or thunderstorms.** Multiple sources, including LUFT TIME (24.8°C), WeatherBug (~26.7°C), Worldmeteo (24°C), and Met Office (27°C), show consensus on this range due to persistent easterly flow, elevated dew points near 24–26°C, and precipitation that suppresses radiative cooling overnight while moderating daytime peaks to 28–30°C. **Key drivers include the expected arrival of organized rain and thunderstorms, which increase cloud cover and atmospheric moisture, preventing temperatures from dropping further.** This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region, where monsoon influences and sea-surface temperatures around 28–29°C support humid conditions. Model runs show limited disagreement on steering patterns, keeping the lowest temperature most likely at 26°C (market-implied 49.5%) or 27°C (34.0%), with lower probabilities for 25°C or 24°C if rainfall is heavier or more prolonged. **No major recent shifts in guidance have occurred in the past 48 hours; the outlook remains stable ahead of final model updates and official observations on the day.** Traders weigh the skin-in-the-game consensus of these near-term forecasts against the inherent uncertainty in short-range precipitation timing and intensity.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 2?
26°C 48%
27°C 34%
25°C 13%
28°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 2, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
7%
24°C
9%
25°C
13%
26°C
48%
27°C
34%
28°C
10%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 48%
27°C 34%
25°C 13%
28°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 2, 2026
22°C or below
$30 Wol.
1%
23°C
$61 Wol.
7%
24°C
$48 Wol.
9%
25°C
$238 Wol.
13%
26°C
$237 Wol.
48%
27°C
$305 Wol.
34%
28°C
$117 Wol.
10%
29°C
$52 Wol.
2%
30°C
$135 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$100 Wol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$346 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast models for Shanghai on September 2, 2026, center the overnight low near 25–27°C amid widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and heavy rain or thunderstorms.** Multiple sources, including LUFT TIME (24.8°C), WeatherBug (~26.7°C), Worldmeteo (24°C), and Met Office (27°C), show consensus on this range due to persistent easterly flow, elevated dew points near 24–26°C, and precipitation that suppresses radiative cooling overnight while moderating daytime peaks to 28–30°C.
**Key drivers include the expected arrival of organized rain and thunderstorms, which increase cloud cover and atmospheric moisture, preventing temperatures from dropping further.** This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region, where monsoon influences and sea-surface temperatures around 28–29°C support humid conditions. Model runs show limited disagreement on steering patterns, keeping the lowest temperature most likely at 26°C (market-implied 49.5%) or 27°C (34.0%), with lower probabilities for 25°C or 24°C if rainfall is heavier or more prolonged.
**No major recent shifts in guidance have occurred in the past 48 hours; the outlook remains stable ahead of final model updates and official observations on the day.** Traders weigh the skin-in-the-game consensus of these near-term forecasts against the inherent uncertainty in short-range precipitation timing and intensity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,670Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast models for Shanghai on September 2, 2026, center the overnight low near 25–27°C amid widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and heavy rain or thunderstorms.** Multiple sources, including LUFT TIME (24.8°C), WeatherBug (~26.7°C), Worldmeteo (24°C), and Met Office (27°C), show consensus on this range due to persistent easterly flow, elevated dew points near 24–26°C, and precipitation that suppresses radiative cooling overnight while moderating daytime peaks to 28–30°C.
**Key drivers include the expected arrival of organized rain and thunderstorms, which increase cloud cover and atmospheric moisture, preventing temperatures from dropping further.** This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region, where monsoon influences and sea-surface temperatures around 28–29°C support humid conditions. Model runs show limited disagreement on steering patterns, keeping the lowest temperature most likely at 26°C (market-implied 49.5%) or 27°C (34.0%), with lower probabilities for 25°C or 24°C if rainfall is heavier or more prolonged.
**No major recent shifts in guidance have occurred in the past 48 hours; the outlook remains stable ahead of final model updates and official observations on the day.** Traders weigh the skin-in-the-game consensus of these near-term forecasts against the inherent uncertainty in short-range precipitation timing and intensity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,670Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecast models for Shanghai on September 2, 2026, center the overnight low near 25–27°C amid widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and heavy rain or thunderstorms.** Multiple sources, including LUFT TIME (24.8°C), WeatherBug (~26.7°C), Worldmeteo (24°C), and Met Office (27°C), show consensus on this range due to persistent easterly flow, elevated dew points near 24–26°C, and precipitation that suppresses radiative cooling overnight while moderating daytime peaks to 28–30°C. **Key drivers include the expected arrival of organized rain and thunderstorms, which increase cloud cover and atmospheric moisture, preventing temperatures from dropping further.** This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region, where monsoon influences and sea-surface temperatures around 28–29°C support humid conditions. Model runs show limited disagreement on steering patterns, keeping the lowest temperature most likely at 26°C (market-implied 49.5%) or 27°C (34.0%), with lower probabilities for 25°C or 24°C if rainfall is heavier or more prolonged. **No major recent shifts in guidance have occurred in the past 48 hours; the outlook remains stable ahead of final model updates and official observations on the day.** Traders weigh the skin-in-the-game consensus of these near-term forecasts against the inherent uncertainty in short-range precipitation timing and intensity.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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