Current short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 22–24°C in Warsaw on September 3 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly flow and minimal precipitation. This range aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where average daily maxima hover near 20–22°C as solar insolation declines and Atlantic air masses dominate. Market-implied probabilities favor 23°C and 24°C because recent model runs show consistent daytime warming without strong advection of cooler air or significant cloud cover that would suppress temperatures. Minor spread in guidance reflects typical ensemble uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any weak frontal passage, with resolution hinging on official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport or equivalent stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 3?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 3?
23°C 45%
24°C 28%
22°C 21%
21°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
3%
21°C
6%
22°C
21%
23°C
45%
24°C
28%
25°C
5%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 45%
24°C 28%
22°C 21%
21°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
18°C or below
$5 Wol.
1%
19°C
$5 Wol.
3%
20°C
$80 Wol.
3%
21°C
$0 Wol.
6%
22°C
$161 Wol.
21%
23°C
$388 Wol.
45%
24°C
$360 Wol.
28%
25°C
$0 Wol.
5%
26°C
$5 Wol.
2%
27°C
$111 Wol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$225 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 22–24°C in Warsaw on September 3 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly flow and minimal precipitation. This range aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where average daily maxima hover near 20–22°C as solar insolation declines and Atlantic air masses dominate. Market-implied probabilities favor 23°C and 24°C because recent model runs show consistent daytime warming without strong advection of cooler air or significant cloud cover that would suppress temperatures. Minor spread in guidance reflects typical ensemble uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any weak frontal passage, with resolution hinging on official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport or equivalent stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,341Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 22–24°C in Warsaw on September 3 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly flow and minimal precipitation. This range aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where average daily maxima hover near 20–22°C as solar insolation declines and Atlantic air masses dominate. Market-implied probabilities favor 23°C and 24°C because recent model runs show consistent daytime warming without strong advection of cooler air or significant cloud cover that would suppress temperatures. Minor spread in guidance reflects typical ensemble uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any weak frontal passage, with resolution hinging on official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport or equivalent stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,341Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 22–24°C in Warsaw on September 3 under partly cloudy skies with light westerly flow and minimal precipitation. This range aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where average daily maxima hover near 20–22°C as solar insolation declines and Atlantic air masses dominate. Market-implied probabilities favor 23°C and 24°C because recent model runs show consistent daytime warming without strong advection of cooler air or significant cloud cover that would suppress temperatures. Minor spread in guidance reflects typical ensemble uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any weak frontal passage, with resolution hinging on official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport or equivalent stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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