Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including European model consensus and local Polish weather services, indicate a high of 22–23°C in Warsaw on September 2, 2026, under clearing high pressure with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover. This aligns closely with the climatological early-September average of roughly 21–22°C, following a cooler, showery pattern on September 1. Model agreement on modest daytime warming without significant advection of warmer air masses or frontal activity keeps the distribution tightly centered on these values, explaining the combined ~79% market-implied probability for 22°C or 23°C. Updated runs closer to the date could still shift the precise maximum by 1–2°C depending on boundary-layer details and insolation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 2?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 2?
23°C 45%
22°C 34%
21°C 12%
24°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 2, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
3%
20°C
4%
21°C
12%
22°C
34%
23°C
45%
24°C
9%
25°C
4%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 45%
22°C 34%
21°C 12%
24°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 2, 2026
17°C or below
$142 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$5 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$5 Wol.
3%
20°C
$0 Wol.
4%
21°C
$7 Wol.
12%
22°C
$180 Wol.
34%
23°C
$228 Wol.
45%
24°C
$0 Wol.
9%
25°C
$8 Wol.
4%
26°C
$59 Wol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$132 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including European model consensus and local Polish weather services, indicate a high of 22–23°C in Warsaw on September 2, 2026, under clearing high pressure with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover. This aligns closely with the climatological early-September average of roughly 21–22°C, following a cooler, showery pattern on September 1. Model agreement on modest daytime warming without significant advection of warmer air masses or frontal activity keeps the distribution tightly centered on these values, explaining the combined ~79% market-implied probability for 22°C or 23°C. Updated runs closer to the date could still shift the precise maximum by 1–2°C depending on boundary-layer details and insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$767Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including European model consensus and local Polish weather services, indicate a high of 22–23°C in Warsaw on September 2, 2026, under clearing high pressure with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover. This aligns closely with the climatological early-September average of roughly 21–22°C, following a cooler, showery pattern on September 1. Model agreement on modest daytime warming without significant advection of warmer air masses or frontal activity keeps the distribution tightly centered on these values, explaining the combined ~79% market-implied probability for 22°C or 23°C. Updated runs closer to the date could still shift the precise maximum by 1–2°C depending on boundary-layer details and insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$767Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including European model consensus and local Polish weather services, indicate a high of 22–23°C in Warsaw on September 2, 2026, under clearing high pressure with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover. This aligns closely with the climatological early-September average of roughly 21–22°C, following a cooler, showery pattern on September 1. Model agreement on modest daytime warming without significant advection of warmer air masses or frontal activity keeps the distribution tightly centered on these values, explaining the combined ~79% market-implied probability for 22°C or 23°C. Updated runs closer to the date could still shift the precise maximum by 1–2°C depending on boundary-layer details and insolation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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