Recent forecasts from European and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw near 14–16°C on September 2 under building high pressure, light westerly winds, and mostly clear skies that promote radiative cooling overnight. Trader sentiment remains split between the 9°C-or-below, 13°C, and 14°C outcomes because small differences in boundary-layer moisture, cloud cover timing, and the exact arrival of a cooler air mass can shift the low by several degrees. With resolution just days away, the next ECMWF and GFS runs plus official IMGW guidance will likely tighten consensus around whether calm conditions allow deeper surface cooling or residual moisture limits the drop.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 2?
9°C or below 94%
19°C or higher 49%
13°C 30%
14°C 29%
9°C or below
94%
10°C
5%
11°C
11%
12°C
20%
13°C
30%
14°C
29%
15°C
25%
16°C
11%
17°C
16%
18°C
16%
19°C or higher
49%
9°C or below 94%
19°C or higher 49%
13°C 30%
14°C 29%
9°C or below
94%
10°C
5%
11°C
11%
12°C
20%
13°C
30%
14°C
29%
15°C
25%
16°C
11%
17°C
16%
18°C
16%
19°C or higher
49%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from European and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw near 14–16°C on September 2 under building high pressure, light westerly winds, and mostly clear skies that promote radiative cooling overnight. Trader sentiment remains split between the 9°C-or-below, 13°C, and 14°C outcomes because small differences in boundary-layer moisture, cloud cover timing, and the exact arrival of a cooler air mass can shift the low by several degrees. With resolution just days away, the next ECMWF and GFS runs plus official IMGW guidance will likely tighten consensus around whether calm conditions allow deeper surface cooling or residual moisture limits the drop.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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