Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a Tokyo minimum near 25°C on August 22 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, limiting overnight radiative cooling and positioning 25–26°C as the leading outcomes. High humidity levels near 75–80% combined with urban heat retention further suppress cooling toward the long-term August average low of roughly 23–24°C observed on clearer nights. No major frontal passages or typhoon influences appear in current model runs, keeping trader-implied probabilities concentrated on the 25–26°C range that together exceed 90% of market odds. Updated guidance and precipitation timing will refine these consensus views ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 22?
25°C 59%
26°C 35%
24°C 6%
23°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 22, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
6%
25°C
59%
26°C
35%
27°C
5%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 59%
26°C 35%
24°C 6%
23°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 22, 2026
21°C or below
$45 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$126 Wol.
2%
23°C
$59 Wol.
5%
24°C
$114 Wol.
6%
25°C
$346 Wol.
59%
26°C
$140 Wol.
35%
27°C
$115 Wol.
5%
28°C
$25 Wol.
2%
29°C
$45 Wol.
1%
30°C
$40 Wol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$40 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a Tokyo minimum near 25°C on August 22 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, limiting overnight radiative cooling and positioning 25–26°C as the leading outcomes. High humidity levels near 75–80% combined with urban heat retention further suppress cooling toward the long-term August average low of roughly 23–24°C observed on clearer nights. No major frontal passages or typhoon influences appear in current model runs, keeping trader-implied probabilities concentrated on the 25–26°C range that together exceed 90% of market odds. Updated guidance and precipitation timing will refine these consensus views ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,096Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a Tokyo minimum near 25°C on August 22 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, limiting overnight radiative cooling and positioning 25–26°C as the leading outcomes. High humidity levels near 75–80% combined with urban heat retention further suppress cooling toward the long-term August average low of roughly 23–24°C observed on clearer nights. No major frontal passages or typhoon influences appear in current model runs, keeping trader-implied probabilities concentrated on the 25–26°C range that together exceed 90% of market odds. Updated guidance and precipitation timing will refine these consensus views ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,096Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a Tokyo minimum near 25°C on August 22 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, limiting overnight radiative cooling and positioning 25–26°C as the leading outcomes. High humidity levels near 75–80% combined with urban heat retention further suppress cooling toward the long-term August average low of roughly 23–24°C observed on clearer nights. No major frontal passages or typhoon influences appear in current model runs, keeping trader-implied probabilities concentrated on the 25–26°C range that together exceed 90% of market odds. Updated guidance and precipitation timing will refine these consensus views ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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