Tokyo's overnight low on August 21 will hinge on the strength of the Pacific high and any passing shortwave troughs or showers, which can enhance radiative cooling or trap heat via urban effects. Current model consensus and JMA guidance point to partly cloudy conditions with possible thunderstorms, keeping minimums near or slightly above the seasonal 24°C baseline amid above-normal summer warmth and high humidity. The tight market split between 26°C (42.5%) and 25°C (35.5%) reflects uncertainty in exact boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns over the next 48 hours, with cooler outcomes requiring stronger onshore flow or heavier rain that remains unsupported by the latest ensemble runs.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 21?
26°C 44%
25°C 34%
27°C 13%
24°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
3%
24°C
6%
25°C
34%
26°C
44%
27°C
13%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 44%
25°C 34%
27°C 13%
24°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
21°C or below
$5 Wol.
1%
22°C
$0 Wol.
4%
23°C
$0 Wol.
3%
24°C
$0 Wol.
6%
25°C
$39 Wol.
34%
26°C
$36 Wol.
44%
27°C
$0 Wol.
13%
28°C
$0 Wol.
5%
29°C
$0 Wol.
1%
30°C
$12 Wol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$6 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tokyo's overnight low on August 21 will hinge on the strength of the Pacific high and any passing shortwave troughs or showers, which can enhance radiative cooling or trap heat via urban effects. Current model consensus and JMA guidance point to partly cloudy conditions with possible thunderstorms, keeping minimums near or slightly above the seasonal 24°C baseline amid above-normal summer warmth and high humidity. The tight market split between 26°C (42.5%) and 25°C (35.5%) reflects uncertainty in exact boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns over the next 48 hours, with cooler outcomes requiring stronger onshore flow or heavier rain that remains unsupported by the latest ensemble runs.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Wolumen
$62Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tokyo's overnight low on August 21 will hinge on the strength of the Pacific high and any passing shortwave troughs or showers, which can enhance radiative cooling or trap heat via urban effects. Current model consensus and JMA guidance point to partly cloudy conditions with possible thunderstorms, keeping minimums near or slightly above the seasonal 24°C baseline amid above-normal summer warmth and high humidity. The tight market split between 26°C (42.5%) and 25°C (35.5%) reflects uncertainty in exact boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns over the next 48 hours, with cooler outcomes requiring stronger onshore flow or heavier rain that remains unsupported by the latest ensemble runs.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$62Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tokyo's overnight low on August 21 will hinge on the strength of the Pacific high and any passing shortwave troughs or showers, which can enhance radiative cooling or trap heat via urban effects. Current model consensus and JMA guidance point to partly cloudy conditions with possible thunderstorms, keeping minimums near or slightly above the seasonal 24°C baseline amid above-normal summer warmth and high humidity. The tight market split between 26°C (42.5%) and 25°C (35.5%) reflects uncertainty in exact boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns over the next 48 hours, with cooler outcomes requiring stronger onshore flow or heavier rain that remains unsupported by the latest ensemble runs.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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