Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a minimum temperature near 24–25°C on July 19, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling amid typical late-summer conditions. These factors create tight differentiation among leading market outcomes around 24–26°C, as even modest increases in clear-sky intervals or slightly stronger breezes could enhance cooling toward the lower end while retained moisture and urban heat island effects support readings near 26°C. Model consensus remains stable but carries uncertainty from potential timing shifts in any passing fronts, with traders weighting historical July minima averaging 23–25°C against the current partly to mostly cloudy outlook through the weekend.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Tokyo on July 19?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on July 19?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$12,615 Wol.
$12,615 Wol.
Jul 19, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$12,615 Wol.
$12,615 Wol.
Jul 19, 2026
21°C or below
$540 Wol.
No
22°C
$706 Wol.
No
23°C
$1,271 Wol.
No
24°C
$1,214 Wol.
No
25°C
$1,604 Wol.
No
26°C
$2,119 Wol.
Yes
27°C
$1,330 Wol.
No
28°C
$480 Wol.
No
29°C
$1,412 Wol.
No
30°C
$1,599 Wol.
No
31°C or higher
$341 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a minimum temperature near 24–25°C on July 19, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling amid typical late-summer conditions. These factors create tight differentiation among leading market outcomes around 24–26°C, as even modest increases in clear-sky intervals or slightly stronger breezes could enhance cooling toward the lower end while retained moisture and urban heat island effects support readings near 26°C. Model consensus remains stable but carries uncertainty from potential timing shifts in any passing fronts, with traders weighting historical July minima averaging 23–25°C against the current partly to mostly cloudy outlook through the weekend.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$12,615Data zakończenia
Jul 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a minimum temperature near 24–25°C on July 19, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling amid typical late-summer conditions. These factors create tight differentiation among leading market outcomes around 24–26°C, as even modest increases in clear-sky intervals or slightly stronger breezes could enhance cooling toward the lower end while retained moisture and urban heat island effects support readings near 26°C. Model consensus remains stable but carries uncertainty from potential timing shifts in any passing fronts, with traders weighting historical July minima averaging 23–25°C against the current partly to mostly cloudy outlook through the weekend.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$12,615Data zakończenia
Jul 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a minimum temperature near 24–25°C on July 19, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling amid typical late-summer conditions. These factors create tight differentiation among leading market outcomes around 24–26°C, as even modest increases in clear-sky intervals or slightly stronger breezes could enhance cooling toward the lower end while retained moisture and urban heat island effects support readings near 26°C. Model consensus remains stable but carries uncertainty from potential timing shifts in any passing fronts, with traders weighting historical July minima averaging 23–25°C against the current partly to mostly cloudy outlook through the weekend.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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