Incumbent Bill Keating secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote against challenger Craig Swallow, setting up a general election matchup against Republican R. Tyler MacAllister on November 3. Massachusetts’ 9th district carries a Democratic lean reflected in recent presidential and House results, and forecasters rate the seat as solidly Democratic. Keating’s long tenure, committee roles, and fundraising edge of more than two-to-one reinforce his position, while MacAllister, a local select board member and commercial fisherman, focuses on fishing regulations and offshore wind but faces structural barriers in a district where Democrats have prevailed by double digits. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s voting history and limited polling, though unexpected national shifts or candidate-specific developments before November could still alter the margin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMA-09 House Election Winner
MA-09 House Election Winner
$23,264 Wol.
$23,264 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Bill Keating (D)
95%
Tyler MacAllister (R)
5%
$23,264 Wol.
$23,264 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Bill Keating (D)
$8,275 Wol.
95%
Tyler MacAllister (R)
$14,989 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Bill Keating secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote against challenger Craig Swallow, setting up a general election matchup against Republican R. Tyler MacAllister on November 3. Massachusetts’ 9th district carries a Democratic lean reflected in recent presidential and House results, and forecasters rate the seat as solidly Democratic. Keating’s long tenure, committee roles, and fundraising edge of more than two-to-one reinforce his position, while MacAllister, a local select board member and commercial fisherman, focuses on fishing regulations and offshore wind but faces structural barriers in a district where Democrats have prevailed by double digits. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s voting history and limited polling, though unexpected national shifts or candidate-specific developments before November could still alter the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$23,264Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Bill Keating secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote against challenger Craig Swallow, setting up a general election matchup against Republican R. Tyler MacAllister on November 3. Massachusetts’ 9th district carries a Democratic lean reflected in recent presidential and House results, and forecasters rate the seat as solidly Democratic. Keating’s long tenure, committee roles, and fundraising edge of more than two-to-one reinforce his position, while MacAllister, a local select board member and commercial fisherman, focuses on fishing regulations and offshore wind but faces structural barriers in a district where Democrats have prevailed by double digits. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s voting history and limited polling, though unexpected national shifts or candidate-specific developments before November could still alter the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$23,264Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Bill Keating secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote against challenger Craig Swallow, setting up a general election matchup against Republican R. Tyler MacAllister on November 3. Massachusetts’ 9th district carries a Democratic lean reflected in recent presidential and House results, and forecasters rate the seat as solidly Democratic. Keating’s long tenure, committee roles, and fundraising edge of more than two-to-one reinforce his position, while MacAllister, a local select board member and commercial fisherman, focuses on fishing regulations and offshore wind but faces structural barriers in a district where Democrats have prevailed by double digits. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s voting history and limited polling, though unexpected national shifts or candidate-specific developments before November could still alter the margin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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