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icon for Next Mythos-Class Model released on…?
Technologia·AI

Next Mythos-Class Model released on…?

icon for Next Mythos-Class Model released on…?
Technologia·AI

Next Mythos-Class Model released on…?

August 26 38%

September 1 38%

September 10 38%

September 15 38%

Polymarket
NOWE

August 26 38%

September 1 38%

September 10 38%

September 15 38%

Polymarket
NOWE

On or prior to August 25

$0 Wol.

22%

August 26

$0 Wol.

38%

August 27

$0 Wol.

21%

August 28

$0 Wol.

22%

August 29

$50 Wol.

8%

August 30

$50 Wol.

6%

August 31

$0 Wol.

22%

September 1

$0 Wol.

38%

September 2

$0 Wol.

22%

September 3

$0 Wol.

22%

September 4

$0 Wol.

22%

September 5

$0 Wol.

21%

September 6

$0 Wol.

21%

September 7

$0 Wol.

22%

September 8

$0 Wol.

22%

September 9

$0 Wol.

22%

September 10

$0 Wol.

38%

September 11

$0 Wol.

22%

September 12

$0 Wol.

22%

September 13

$0 Wol.

21%

September 14

$0 Wol.

22%

September 15

$0 Wol.

38%

September 16

$0 Wol.

22%

September 17

$0 Wol.

22%

September 18

$0 Wol.

38%

September 19

$0 Wol.

38%

September 20

$0 Wol.

22%

September 21

$0 Wol.

22%

September 22

$0 Wol.

22%

September 23

$0 Wol.

37%

September 24

$0 Wol.

22%

September 25

$0 Wol.

22%

September 26

$0 Wol.

22%

September 27

$0 Wol.

22%

September 28

$0 Wol.

21%

September 29

$0 Wol.

22%

September 30

$0 Wol.

27%

No release by September 30

$0 Wol.

22%

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Mythos-class model is made available to the general public. Any model whose official name includes "Mythos," or that Anthropic officially describes as a "Mythos-class" model or similar, will qualify for this market's resolution. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment on Anthropic’s next Mythos-class model (following the June 9, 2026 launch of Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5) shows closely matched market-implied odds clustered around early-to-mid September dates at roughly 37%, reflecting uncertainty over development timelines and safety guardrails for these high-capability large language models. Competitive pressure from OpenAI, Google DeepMind, and xAI, alongside Anthropic’s focus on cybersecurity benchmarks and controlled access programs like Project Glasswing, continues to shape release pacing. Key swing factors include any official announcements, regulatory shifts on export controls, or internal progress on long-horizon reasoning features, with substantial probability also priced on no release by September 30.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Mythos-class model is made available to the general public.

Any model whose official name includes "Mythos," or that Anthropic officially describes as a "Mythos-class" model or similar, will qualify for this market's resolution.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$100
Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 7:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Mythos-class model is made available to the general public. Any model whose official name includes "Mythos," or that Anthropic officially describes as a "Mythos-class" model or similar, will qualify for this market's resolution. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Mythos-class model is made available to the general public. Any model whose official name includes "Mythos," or that Anthropic officially describes as a "Mythos-class" model or similar, will qualify for this market's resolution. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment on Anthropic’s next Mythos-class model (following the June 9, 2026 launch of Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5) shows closely matched market-implied odds clustered around early-to-mid September dates at roughly 37%, reflecting uncertainty over development timelines and safety guardrails for these high-capability large language models. Competitive pressure from OpenAI, Google DeepMind, and xAI, alongside Anthropic’s focus on cybersecurity benchmarks and controlled access programs like Project Glasswing, continues to shape release pacing. Key swing factors include any official announcements, regulatory shifts on export controls, or internal progress on long-horizon reasoning features, with substantial probability also priced on no release by September 30.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Mythos-class model is made available to the general public.

Any model whose official name includes "Mythos," or that Anthropic officially describes as a "Mythos-class" model or similar, will qualify for this market's resolution.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$100
Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 7:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Mythos-class model is made available to the general public. Any model whose official name includes "Mythos," or that Anthropic officially describes as a "Mythos-class" model or similar, will qualify for this market's resolution. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Next Mythos-Class Model released on…?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 38 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "August 26" z 38%, za nim "September 1" z 38%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 38¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 38% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Next Mythos-Class Model released on…?" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Aug 24, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Next Mythos-Class Model released on…?", przeglądaj 38 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Next Mythos-Class Model released on…?" jest "August 26" z 38%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 38% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "September 1" z 38%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Next Mythos-Class Model released on…?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.