**Z.ai leads trader sentiment at 90% implied probability** due to credible speculation linking Ox Alpha to the Chinese lab behind GLM-5. The model surfaced on OpenRouter in mid-August 2026 as an anonymous “stealth” reasoning model with a 1M-token context window, multimodal inputs, and strong coding/agentic performance, offered free during preview. Observers noted the “Alpha” naming pattern matching Z.ai’s earlier anonymous GLM-5 test under “Pony Alpha,” plus matching tokenizer behavior and response patterns. No official attribution has emerged, leaving room for shifts if the provider reveals itself or new benchmarks contradict the link. Other listed entities, including major labs and platforms, trade near negligible odds absent comparable technical or historical signals.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhich company does Ox Alpha belong to?
Which company does Ox Alpha belong to?
Z.ai 90%
Google 4.0%
Xiaomi 3.1%
Cursor 1.8%
NOWE
$30,437 Wol.
NOWE
$30,437 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
Z.ai
90%
4%
Xiaomi
3%
Cursor
2%
Safe Superintelligence
2%
Meta
1%
Microsoft
1%
Baidu
1%
xAI
<1%
Mistral
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Meituan
<1%
OpenAI
<1%
Anthropic
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Amazon
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot AI
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Z.ai 90%
Google 4.0%
Xiaomi 3.1%
Cursor 1.8%
NOWE
$30,437 Wol.
NOWE
$30,437 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
Z.ai
$9,542 Wol.
90%
$1,708 Wol.
4%
Xiaomi
$1,320 Wol.
3%
Cursor
$1,224 Wol.
2%
Safe Superintelligence
$1,424 Wol.
2%
Meta
$366 Wol.
1%
Microsoft
$1,177 Wol.
1%
Baidu
$1,002 Wol.
1%
xAI
$1,317 Wol.
<1%
Mistral
$1,289 Wol.
<1%
ByteDance
$1,121 Wol.
<1%
Meituan
$579 Wol.
<1%
OpenAI
$527 Wol.
<1%
Anthropic
$547 Wol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$532 Wol.
<1%
Nvidia
$918 Wol.
<1%
Amazon
$770 Wol.
<1%
MiniMax
$871 Wol.
<1%
Tencent
$984 Wol.
<1%
StepFun
$881 Wol.
<1%
Alibaba
$981 Wol.
<1%
Moonshot AI
$757 Wol.
<1%
Thinky
$602 Wol.
<1%
Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation.
This market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.
A qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.
If two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.
If Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Z.ai leads trader sentiment at 90% implied probability** due to credible speculation linking Ox Alpha to the Chinese lab behind GLM-5. The model surfaced on OpenRouter in mid-August 2026 as an anonymous “stealth” reasoning model with a 1M-token context window, multimodal inputs, and strong coding/agentic performance, offered free during preview. Observers noted the “Alpha” naming pattern matching Z.ai’s earlier anonymous GLM-5 test under “Pony Alpha,” plus matching tokenizer behavior and response patterns. No official attribution has emerged, leaving room for shifts if the provider reveals itself or new benchmarks contradict the link. Other listed entities, including major labs and platforms, trade near negligible odds absent comparable technical or historical signals.
Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation.
This market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.
A qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.
If two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.
If Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.
A qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.
If two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.
If Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 24, 2026, 11:33 AM ET
Wolumen
$30,437Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation.
This market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.
A qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.
If two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.
If Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Z.ai leads trader sentiment at 90% implied probability** due to credible speculation linking Ox Alpha to the Chinese lab behind GLM-5. The model surfaced on OpenRouter in mid-August 2026 as an anonymous “stealth” reasoning model with a 1M-token context window, multimodal inputs, and strong coding/agentic performance, offered free during preview. Observers noted the “Alpha” naming pattern matching Z.ai’s earlier anonymous GLM-5 test under “Pony Alpha,” plus matching tokenizer behavior and response patterns. No official attribution has emerged, leaving room for shifts if the provider reveals itself or new benchmarks contradict the link. Other listed entities, including major labs and platforms, trade near negligible odds absent comparable technical or historical signals.
Ox Alpha is a stealth reasoning model made available on OpenRouter on August 20, 2026, whose developer had not been publicly confirmed as of market creation.
This market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.
A qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.
If two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.
If Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the company that developed Ox Alpha, as identified by either the respective company, OpenRouter, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A qualifying announcement by OpenRouter or the respective company must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of OpenRouter or the respective company, informal statements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify as official announcements.
A qualifying identification must unambiguously state that the company developed Ox Alpha or that Ox Alpha was an early, preview, or internal version of one of its models. Statements that merely speculate about Ox Alpha’s identity, infer its identity from technical similarities, or identify only its operator, host, or underlying model family will not be considered. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify only if it unambiguously identifies the developer as fact rather than merely repeating speculation, technical inferences, unnamed claims, or leaks.
If two or more companies are identified as having jointly developed Ox Alpha, this market will resolve to the company identified as its primary developer. If no primary developer is clearly identified, the jointly identified companies will be ordered alphabetically according to their names as listed in this market group, and this market will resolve to the outcome listed first under that ordering. For purposes of this ordering, any jointly identified company not separately listed in this market group will be treated as “Other”.
If Ox Alpha’s developer is not clearly identified through a qualifying identification by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the respective company or its official representatives, as well as official information from OpenRouter, including its official website and official X account; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$30,437Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Z.ai leads trader sentiment at 90% implied probability** due to credible speculation linking Ox Alpha to the Chinese lab behind GLM-5. The model surfaced on OpenRouter in mid-August 2026 as an anonymous “stealth” reasoning model with a 1M-token context window, multimodal inputs, and strong coding/agentic performance, offered free during preview. Observers noted the “Alpha” naming pattern matching Z.ai’s earlier anonymous GLM-5 test under “Pony Alpha,” plus matching tokenizer behavior and response patterns. No official attribution has emerged, leaving room for shifts if the provider reveals itself or new benchmarks contradict the link. Other listed entities, including major labs and platforms, trade near negligible odds absent comparable technical or historical signals.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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