Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 37% implied probability for no Perplexity IPO before 2028, driven primarily by CEO Aravind Srinivas's explicit March 2025 statement ruling out public listing until then, with no subsequent updates amid ample private funding. Strong growth fuels optimism for high closing market caps if an IPO occurs later, including 24% odds for $50B–75B and 16% for $40B–50B, reflecting Perplexity's $20B private valuation from its September 2025 round, explosive $450M+ ARR surge via agent products like Personal Computer launched April 16, 2026, and 100M+ monthly users leveraging multi-model orchestration against Google. Uncertainty persists from competitive AI search dynamics, potential regulatory scrutiny on data practices, and volatile public market reception for agent platforms, with no near-term catalysts like S-1 filings announced.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPerplexity IPO Closing Market Cap
Perplexity IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO before 2028 37%
50B–75B 22.9%
40B–50B 16.8%
75B–100B 9.7%
$130,513 Wol.
$130,513 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
<20B
4%
20B–30B
3%
30B–40B
4%
40B–50B
16%
50B–75B
23%
75B–100B
10%
100B+
7%
No IPO before 2028
37%
No IPO before 2028 37%
50B–75B 22.9%
40B–50B 16.8%
75B–100B 9.7%
$130,513 Wol.
$130,513 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
<20B
$4,428 Wol.
4%
20B–30B
$5,845 Wol.
3%
30B–40B
$0 Wol.
4%
40B–50B
$0 Wol.
16%
50B–75B
$6,171 Wol.
23%
75B–100B
$3,258 Wol.
10%
100B+
$4,500 Wol.
7%
No IPO before 2028
$106,312 Wol.
37%
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 37% implied probability for no Perplexity IPO before 2028, driven primarily by CEO Aravind Srinivas's explicit March 2025 statement ruling out public listing until then, with no subsequent updates amid ample private funding. Strong growth fuels optimism for high closing market caps if an IPO occurs later, including 24% odds for $50B–75B and 16% for $40B–50B, reflecting Perplexity's $20B private valuation from its September 2025 round, explosive $450M+ ARR surge via agent products like Personal Computer launched April 16, 2026, and 100M+ monthly users leveraging multi-model orchestration against Google. Uncertainty persists from competitive AI search dynamics, potential regulatory scrutiny on data practices, and volatile public market reception for agent platforms, with no near-term catalysts like S-1 filings announced.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Wolumen
$130,513Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 37% implied probability for no Perplexity IPO before 2028, driven primarily by CEO Aravind Srinivas's explicit March 2025 statement ruling out public listing until then, with no subsequent updates amid ample private funding. Strong growth fuels optimism for high closing market caps if an IPO occurs later, including 24% odds for $50B–75B and 16% for $40B–50B, reflecting Perplexity's $20B private valuation from its September 2025 round, explosive $450M+ ARR surge via agent products like Personal Computer launched April 16, 2026, and 100M+ monthly users leveraging multi-model orchestration against Google. Uncertainty persists from competitive AI search dynamics, potential regulatory scrutiny on data practices, and volatile public market reception for agent platforms, with no near-term catalysts like S-1 filings announced.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Wolumen
$130,513Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 37% implied probability for no Perplexity IPO before 2028, driven primarily by CEO Aravind Srinivas's explicit March 2025 statement ruling out public listing until then, with no subsequent updates amid ample private funding. Strong growth fuels optimism for high closing market caps if an IPO occurs later, including 24% odds for $50B–75B and 16% for $40B–50B, reflecting Perplexity's $20B private valuation from its September 2025 round, explosive $450M+ ARR surge via agent products like Personal Computer launched April 16, 2026, and 100M+ monthly users leveraging multi-model orchestration against Google. Uncertainty persists from competitive AI search dynamics, potential regulatory scrutiny on data practices, and volatile public market reception for agent platforms, with no near-term catalysts like S-1 filings announced.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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