CEO Aravind Srinivas’s repeated statements ruling out any IPO before 2028, combined with Perplexity’s successful private funding rounds reaching a $20 billion valuation in September 2025, anchor trader consensus around the leading 39.5% implied probability for no public listing by then. The AI-powered search startup continues to attract capital from investors such as SoftBank while reporting strong revenue growth, reducing near-term pressure for a public exit. Remaining outcomes reflect uncertainty over future market conditions, competitive positioning in the large language model space, and potential valuation multiples if an IPO occurs later, with 75B–100B at 10.8% as the next-highest bucket. No major regulatory or partnership catalysts have emerged in recent months to shift these probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPerplexity IPO Closing Market Cap
Perplexity IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO before 2028 40%
75B–100B 10.8%
20B–30B 6.0%
50B–75B 5.8%
$142,723 Wol.
$142,723 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
<20B
6%
20B–30B
6%
30B–40B
6%
40B–50B
5%
50B–75B
6%
75B–100B
11%
100B+
5%
No IPO before 2028
40%
No IPO before 2028 40%
75B–100B 10.8%
20B–30B 6.0%
50B–75B 5.8%
$142,723 Wol.
$142,723 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
<20B
$4,576 Wol.
6%
20B–30B
$7,645 Wol.
6%
30B–40B
$4,457 Wol.
6%
40B–50B
$4,307 Wol.
5%
50B–75B
$6,325 Wol.
6%
75B–100B
$3,545 Wol.
11%
100B+
$5,049 Wol.
5%
No IPO before 2028
$106,820 Wol.
40%
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.CEO Aravind Srinivas’s repeated statements ruling out any IPO before 2028, combined with Perplexity’s successful private funding rounds reaching a $20 billion valuation in September 2025, anchor trader consensus around the leading 39.5% implied probability for no public listing by then. The AI-powered search startup continues to attract capital from investors such as SoftBank while reporting strong revenue growth, reducing near-term pressure for a public exit. Remaining outcomes reflect uncertainty over future market conditions, competitive positioning in the large language model space, and potential valuation multiples if an IPO occurs later, with 75B–100B at 10.8% as the next-highest bucket. No major regulatory or partnership catalysts have emerged in recent months to shift these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Wolumen
$142,723Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.CEO Aravind Srinivas’s repeated statements ruling out any IPO before 2028, combined with Perplexity’s successful private funding rounds reaching a $20 billion valuation in September 2025, anchor trader consensus around the leading 39.5% implied probability for no public listing by then. The AI-powered search startup continues to attract capital from investors such as SoftBank while reporting strong revenue growth, reducing near-term pressure for a public exit. Remaining outcomes reflect uncertainty over future market conditions, competitive positioning in the large language model space, and potential valuation multiples if an IPO occurs later, with 75B–100B at 10.8% as the next-highest bucket. No major regulatory or partnership catalysts have emerged in recent months to shift these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Wolumen
$142,723Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...CEO Aravind Srinivas’s repeated statements ruling out any IPO before 2028, combined with Perplexity’s successful private funding rounds reaching a $20 billion valuation in September 2025, anchor trader consensus around the leading 39.5% implied probability for no public listing by then. The AI-powered search startup continues to attract capital from investors such as SoftBank while reporting strong revenue growth, reducing near-term pressure for a public exit. Remaining outcomes reflect uncertainty over future market conditions, competitive positioning in the large language model space, and potential valuation multiples if an IPO occurs later, with 75B–100B at 10.8% as the next-highest bucket. No major regulatory or partnership catalysts have emerged in recent months to shift these probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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