Tennessee's 4th Congressional District maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+11 and consistent double-digit margins for GOP presidential candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Scott DesJarlais secured his party's nomination with 66% in the August 2026 primary, benefiting from name recognition and the district's partisan baseline after mid-decade redistricting. Victoria Broderick won the Democratic primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Trader consensus around 93.5% for DesJarlais aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of competitive general-election polling. A late-breaking scandal, unusually elevated Democratic turnout, or broader national shift could narrow the margin, though such developments would need to overcome the district's established voting patterns to alter the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTN-04 House Election Winner
TN-04 House Election Winner
$61,076 Wol.
$61,076 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Scott DesJarlais (R)
94%
Victoria Broderick (D)
6%
$61,076 Wol.
$61,076 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Scott DesJarlais (R)
$29,643 Wol.
94%
Victoria Broderick (D)
$31,433 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 4th Congressional District maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+11 and consistent double-digit margins for GOP presidential candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Scott DesJarlais secured his party's nomination with 66% in the August 2026 primary, benefiting from name recognition and the district's partisan baseline after mid-decade redistricting. Victoria Broderick won the Democratic primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Trader consensus around 93.5% for DesJarlais aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of competitive general-election polling. A late-breaking scandal, unusually elevated Democratic turnout, or broader national shift could narrow the margin, though such developments would need to overcome the district's established voting patterns to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$61,076Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 4th Congressional District maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+11 and consistent double-digit margins for GOP presidential candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Scott DesJarlais secured his party's nomination with 66% in the August 2026 primary, benefiting from name recognition and the district's partisan baseline after mid-decade redistricting. Victoria Broderick won the Democratic primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Trader consensus around 93.5% for DesJarlais aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of competitive general-election polling. A late-breaking scandal, unusually elevated Democratic turnout, or broader national shift could narrow the margin, though such developments would need to overcome the district's established voting patterns to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$61,076Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 4th Congressional District maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+11 and consistent double-digit margins for GOP presidential candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Scott DesJarlais secured his party's nomination with 66% in the August 2026 primary, benefiting from name recognition and the district's partisan baseline after mid-decade redistricting. Victoria Broderick won the Democratic primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Trader consensus around 93.5% for DesJarlais aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of competitive general-election polling. A late-breaking scandal, unusually elevated Democratic turnout, or broader national shift could narrow the margin, though such developments would need to overcome the district's established voting patterns to alter the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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