Tennessee's 4th congressional district carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+11 and has delivered consistent GOP majorities in recent cycles, including incumbent Scott DesJarlais's 70% win in 2024. DesJarlais secured the Republican nomination in the August 6, 2026 primary, while multiple Democratic candidates competed in their primary without a clear frontrunner. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November general election. The district's conservative voter base, combined with the incumbent's established organization and fundraising, underpins the 92.5% Republican price. A late scandal, severe national headwinds for Republicans, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though such shifts would require substantial departures from current trends.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTN-04 House Election Winner
TN-04 House Election Winner
$37,987 Wol.
$37,987 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
8%
$37,987 Wol.
$37,987 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$19,445 Wol.
93%
Democratic Party
$18,541 Wol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 4th congressional district carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+11 and has delivered consistent GOP majorities in recent cycles, including incumbent Scott DesJarlais's 70% win in 2024. DesJarlais secured the Republican nomination in the August 6, 2026 primary, while multiple Democratic candidates competed in their primary without a clear frontrunner. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November general election. The district's conservative voter base, combined with the incumbent's established organization and fundraising, underpins the 92.5% Republican price. A late scandal, severe national headwinds for Republicans, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though such shifts would require substantial departures from current trends.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$37,987Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 4th congressional district carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+11 and has delivered consistent GOP majorities in recent cycles, including incumbent Scott DesJarlais's 70% win in 2024. DesJarlais secured the Republican nomination in the August 6, 2026 primary, while multiple Democratic candidates competed in their primary without a clear frontrunner. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November general election. The district's conservative voter base, combined with the incumbent's established organization and fundraising, underpins the 92.5% Republican price. A late scandal, severe national headwinds for Republicans, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though such shifts would require substantial departures from current trends.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$37,987Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 4th congressional district carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+11 and has delivered consistent GOP majorities in recent cycles, including incumbent Scott DesJarlais's 70% win in 2024. DesJarlais secured the Republican nomination in the August 6, 2026 primary, while multiple Democratic candidates competed in their primary without a clear frontrunner. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November general election. The district's conservative voter base, combined with the incumbent's established organization and fundraising, underpins the 92.5% Republican price. A late scandal, severe national headwinds for Republicans, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though such shifts would require substantial departures from current trends.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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