Redistricting approved by the Texas legislature in August 2025 and signed into law by Governor Greg Abbott shifted the 32nd district's baseline from D+22 to R+17 by expanding it from suburban Dallas into conservative East Texas counties. This structural change underpins the Republican nominee's strong position ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican primary voters selected Jace Yarbrough as nominee following a March contest and subsequent runoff cancellation, while Democrat Dan Barrios emerged from his party's primary. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the current market pricing that treats a Republican victory as the consensus outcome while leaving room for turnout or campaign dynamics to influence the final margin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTX-32 House Election Winner
TX-32 House Election Winner
$29,857 Wol.
$29,857 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
79%
Democratic Party
20%
$29,857 Wol.
$29,857 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$27,401 Wol.
79%
Democratic Party
$2,456 Wol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved by the Texas legislature in August 2025 and signed into law by Governor Greg Abbott shifted the 32nd district's baseline from D+22 to R+17 by expanding it from suburban Dallas into conservative East Texas counties. This structural change underpins the Republican nominee's strong position ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican primary voters selected Jace Yarbrough as nominee following a March contest and subsequent runoff cancellation, while Democrat Dan Barrios emerged from his party's primary. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the current market pricing that treats a Republican victory as the consensus outcome while leaving room for turnout or campaign dynamics to influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Wolumen
$29,857Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved by the Texas legislature in August 2025 and signed into law by Governor Greg Abbott shifted the 32nd district's baseline from D+22 to R+17 by expanding it from suburban Dallas into conservative East Texas counties. This structural change underpins the Republican nominee's strong position ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican primary voters selected Jace Yarbrough as nominee following a March contest and subsequent runoff cancellation, while Democrat Dan Barrios emerged from his party's primary. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the current market pricing that treats a Republican victory as the consensus outcome while leaving room for turnout or campaign dynamics to influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$29,857Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting approved by the Texas legislature in August 2025 and signed into law by Governor Greg Abbott shifted the 32nd district's baseline from D+22 to R+17 by expanding it from suburban Dallas into conservative East Texas counties. This structural change underpins the Republican nominee's strong position ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican primary voters selected Jace Yarbrough as nominee following a March contest and subsequent runoff cancellation, while Democrat Dan Barrios emerged from his party's primary. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the current market pricing that treats a Republican victory as the consensus outcome while leaving room for turnout or campaign dynamics to influence the final margin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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