In the Vermont Democratic gubernatorial primary set for August 11, trader consensus favors Attorney General Charity Clark at 36% implied probability over Treasurer Mike Pieciak at 27.5%, reflecting their incumbency advantages, statewide name recognition, and past electoral successes amid an open field challenging popular Republican incumbent Phil Scott. The race remains tightly contested due to the absence of formal announcements from these top contenders and a lack of recent polls, allowing lower-profile entrants like economist Amanda Janoo (March 10) and child care advocate Aly Richards (April 6) to compete without shifting odds significantly. Separation could emerge from the May 28 filing deadline, July 1 fundraising reports, party endorsements, or early polling on key issues like affordability and housing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCharity Clark 36%
Mike Pieciak 28%
Esther Charlestin 2.4%
$55,975 Wol.
$55,975 Wol.
Charity Clark
36%
Mike Pieciak
28%
Esther Charlestin
2%
Charity Clark 36%
Mike Pieciak 28%
Esther Charlestin 2.4%
$55,975 Wol.
$55,975 Wol.
Charity Clark
36%
Mike Pieciak
28%
Esther Charlestin
2%
If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the Vermont Democratic gubernatorial primary set for August 11, trader consensus favors Attorney General Charity Clark at 36% implied probability over Treasurer Mike Pieciak at 27.5%, reflecting their incumbency advantages, statewide name recognition, and past electoral successes amid an open field challenging popular Republican incumbent Phil Scott. The race remains tightly contested due to the absence of formal announcements from these top contenders and a lack of recent polls, allowing lower-profile entrants like economist Amanda Janoo (March 10) and child care advocate Aly Richards (April 6) to compete without shifting odds significantly. Separation could emerge from the May 28 filing deadline, July 1 fundraising reports, party endorsements, or early polling on key issues like affordability and housing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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