Figure AI's ongoing livestream of multiple F.03 humanoid robots sorting packages autonomously has driven near-certain trader consensus toward failure before the May 21, 10 PM ET resolution. Powered by the Helix-02 vision-language-action model, the three units have already logged over 191 consecutive hours and 238,000 packages at roughly human-parity speeds, yet this extended 24/7 operation at the BotQ facility introduces mounting risks of mechanical fatigue, sensor drift, or thermal issues that could halt performance. With production now scaled to one robot per hour and no human resets allowed, any last-minute actuator fault or edge-case handling error remains a realistic scenario that could still shift the outcome despite the demonstrated reliability so far.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill Figure's F.03 Robots Run Without Failure Through May 21, 10 PM ET?
Will Figure's F.03 Robots Run Without Failure Through May 21, 10 PM ET?
$11,446 Wol.
$11,446 Wol.
May 21, 2026
$11,446 Wol.
$11,446 Wol.
May 21, 2026
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if between market creation and May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET, Figure's F.03 robots run without failure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Failure is defined as a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Figure AI's ongoing livestream of multiple F.03 humanoid robots sorting packages autonomously has driven near-certain trader consensus toward failure before the May 21, 10 PM ET resolution. Powered by the Helix-02 vision-language-action model, the three units have already logged over 191 consecutive hours and 238,000 packages at roughly human-parity speeds, yet this extended 24/7 operation at the BotQ facility introduces mounting risks of mechanical fatigue, sensor drift, or thermal issues that could halt performance. With production now scaled to one robot per hour and no human resets allowed, any last-minute actuator fault or edge-case handling error remains a realistic scenario that could still shift the outcome despite the demonstrated reliability so far.
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if between market creation and May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET, Figure's F.03 robots run without failure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Failure is defined as a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if between market creation and May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET, Figure's F.03 robots run without failure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Failure is defined as a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: May 19, 2026, 1:12 PM ET
Wolumen
$11,446Data zakończenia
May 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 19, 2026, 1:12 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkakResolver
0x65070BE91...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if between market creation and May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET, Figure's F.03 robots run without failure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Failure is defined as a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Figure AI's ongoing livestream of multiple F.03 humanoid robots sorting packages autonomously has driven near-certain trader consensus toward failure before the May 21, 10 PM ET resolution. Powered by the Helix-02 vision-language-action model, the three units have already logged over 191 consecutive hours and 238,000 packages at roughly human-parity speeds, yet this extended 24/7 operation at the BotQ facility introduces mounting risks of mechanical fatigue, sensor drift, or thermal issues that could halt performance. With production now scaled to one robot per hour and no human resets allowed, any last-minute actuator fault or edge-case handling error remains a realistic scenario that could still shift the outcome despite the demonstrated reliability so far.
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if between market creation and May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET, Figure's F.03 robots run without failure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Failure is defined as a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if between market creation and May 21, 2026, 10:00 PM ET, Figure's F.03 robots run without failure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Failure is defined as a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$11,446Data zakończenia
May 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 19, 2026, 1:12 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkakResolver
0x65070BE91...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Figure AI's ongoing livestream of multiple F.03 humanoid robots sorting packages autonomously has driven near-certain trader consensus toward failure before the May 21, 10 PM ET resolution. Powered by the Helix-02 vision-language-action model, the three units have already logged over 191 consecutive hours and 238,000 packages at roughly human-parity speeds, yet this extended 24/7 operation at the BotQ facility introduces mounting risks of mechanical fatigue, sensor drift, or thermal issues that could halt performance. With production now scaled to one robot per hour and no human resets allowed, any last-minute actuator fault or edge-case handling error remains a realistic scenario that could still shift the outcome despite the demonstrated reliability so far.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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