Russian forces have targeted Khatnie, a settlement in Ukraine’s Kharkiv Oblast southwest of Milove, as part of incremental advances aimed at widening salients toward Velykyi Burluk. Institute for the Study of War assessments through mid-2025 noted Russian artillery, drone strikes, and attempts to seize the area, yet 2026 reporting shows sharply reduced territorial gains overall, with Russian units capturing or infiltrating far less ground than in prior periods amid strengthened Ukrainian defensive measures. This slowdown in offensive tempo, concentrated on the Kharkiv axis rather than decisive breakthroughs elsewhere, shapes trader views that entry into Khatnie remains unlikely in the near term. Ongoing frontline dynamics, Ukrainian counter-pressure, and any shifts in Russian force allocation or resupply could alter the pace of localized fighting before resolution windows close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill Russia enter Khatnie by...?
$151,471 Wol.
July 31
19%
$151,471 Wol.
July 31
19%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: May 27, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have targeted Khatnie, a settlement in Ukraine’s Kharkiv Oblast southwest of Milove, as part of incremental advances aimed at widening salients toward Velykyi Burluk. Institute for the Study of War assessments through mid-2025 noted Russian artillery, drone strikes, and attempts to seize the area, yet 2026 reporting shows sharply reduced territorial gains overall, with Russian units capturing or infiltrating far less ground than in prior periods amid strengthened Ukrainian defensive measures. This slowdown in offensive tempo, concentrated on the Kharkiv axis rather than decisive breakthroughs elsewhere, shapes trader views that entry into Khatnie remains unlikely in the near term. Ongoing frontline dynamics, Ukrainian counter-pressure, and any shifts in Russian force allocation or resupply could alter the pace of localized fighting before resolution windows close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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