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FDA predictions & odds

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FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

23%

$563K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

FDA approves AstraZeneca's Camizestrant?

FDA approves AstraZeneca's Camizestrant?

1%

$1.6K Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

FDA approves Daiichi Sankyo & AstraZeneca's Enhertu?

FDA approves Daiichi Sankyo & AstraZeneca's Enhertu?

80%

$617 Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

FDA approves AstraZeneca's Truqap (capivasertib)?

FDA approves AstraZeneca's Truqap (capivasertib)?

13%

$2.2K Vol.

$219 Liq.

Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

11%

$67.1K Vol.

$23.0K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

Weed rescheduled by...?

Weed rescheduled by...?

25%

December 31

$756K Vol.

$31.6K Liq.

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

58%

December 31, 2027

$473K Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

33

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

42%

$4.7K Vol.

$8.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 21 days

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

90%

$21.4K Vol.

$15.7K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

What price will Hyperliquid hit in May?

What price will Hyperliquid hit in May?

55%

↓ 38

$10.2K Vol.

$27.1K Liq.

Ends in 22 days

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

99%

↑2k

$8M Vol.

$21.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

97%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1M Vol.

$32.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

99%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$279K Liq.

96

Ends in 4 days

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

62%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

123

Ends in about 2 months

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

26%

$22.7K Vol.

$12.6K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?

DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?

6%

June 30

$3.8K Vol.

$13.2K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

43%

December 31

$306K Vol.

$36.7K Liq.

12

Ends in 8 months

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

8%

$4M Vol.

$924K today

$1M Liq.

255

Ends in 8 months

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

100%

Kevin Warsh

$51M Vol.

$436K today

$4M Liq.

103

Ends in 6 months

Measles cases in U.S. by May 31?

Measles cases in U.S. by May 31?

92%

1900

$29.5K Vol.

$17.5K Liq.

Ends in 21 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like FDA.

Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for FDA that lets you track or trade on predictions like “FDA approves Retatrutide this year?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $72.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “FDA approves Retatrutide this year?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to Kevin Warsh. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on FDA predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.