Recent partial outages and elevated error rates at OpenAI have shaped trader views on the likelihood of a full ChatGPT outage. Multiple incidents struck in mid-September 2026, including image-generation failures with gpt-image-2.5-flare, degraded performance for GPT-5.6 users on paid plans, and Work Mode access problems lasting up to 11 hours. These followed a September 3 routing error that briefly disrupted ChatGPT alongside similar issues at Anthropic and xAI, pointing to configuration and infrastructure sensitivities rather than isolated events. OpenAI’s status page shows rapid mitigations and high overall uptime, yet the pattern of recurring component-level problems keeps market-implied odds sensitive to any new scaling challenges or model releases. Traders watch for upcoming developer updates or infrastructure changes that could trigger broader failures.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoInterrupção total do ChatGPT por...?
Interrupção total do ChatGPT por...?
$16,342 Vol.
30 set 2026
30 de setembro
13%
$16,342 Vol.
30 de setembro
$6,859 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent partial outages and elevated error rates at OpenAI have shaped trader views on the likelihood of a full ChatGPT outage. Multiple incidents struck in mid-September 2026, including image-generation failures with gpt-image-2.5-flare, degraded performance for GPT-5.6 users on paid plans, and Work Mode access problems lasting up to 11 hours. These followed a September 3 routing error that briefly disrupted ChatGPT alongside similar issues at Anthropic and xAI, pointing to configuration and infrastructure sensitivities rather than isolated events. OpenAI’s status page shows rapid mitigations and high overall uptime, yet the pattern of recurring component-level problems keeps market-implied odds sensitive to any new scaling challenges or model releases. Traders watch for upcoming developer updates or infrastructure changes that could trigger broader failures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 26, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
Volume
$16,342Data de Término
30 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 26, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent partial outages and elevated error rates at OpenAI have shaped trader views on the likelihood of a full ChatGPT outage. Multiple incidents struck in mid-September 2026, including image-generation failures with gpt-image-2.5-flare, degraded performance for GPT-5.6 users on paid plans, and Work Mode access problems lasting up to 11 hours. These followed a September 3 routing error that briefly disrupted ChatGPT alongside similar issues at Anthropic and xAI, pointing to configuration and infrastructure sensitivities rather than isolated events. OpenAI’s status page shows rapid mitigations and high overall uptime, yet the pattern of recurring component-level problems keeps market-implied odds sensitive to any new scaling challenges or model releases. Traders watch for upcoming developer updates or infrastructure changes that could trigger broader failures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$16,342Data de Término
30 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 26, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent partial outages and elevated error rates at OpenAI have shaped trader views on the likelihood of a full ChatGPT outage. Multiple incidents struck in mid-September 2026, including image-generation failures with gpt-image-2.5-flare, degraded performance for GPT-5.6 users on paid plans, and Work Mode access problems lasting up to 11 hours. These followed a September 3 routing error that briefly disrupted ChatGPT alongside similar issues at Anthropic and xAI, pointing to configuration and infrastructure sensitivities rather than isolated events. OpenAI’s status page shows rapid mitigations and high overall uptime, yet the pattern of recurring component-level problems keeps market-implied odds sensitive to any new scaling challenges or model releases. Traders watch for upcoming developer updates or infrastructure changes that could trigger broader failures.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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