Recent de-escalation hopes in U.S.-Iran talks have driven sharp declines in WTI crude futures, with prices falling to around $85 per barrel as of mid-June 2026 after trading above $95 earlier in the month. Persistent closure of the Strait of Hormuz has curtailed Middle East supply by over 10 million barrels daily, supporting large inventory draws, yet trader sentiment has shifted toward lower risk premiums amid ceasefire signals. Key near-term catalysts include weekly EIA inventory data, potential diplomatic breakthroughs before month-end, and seasonal summer demand strength. Market-implied odds reflect this uncertainty, balancing geopolitical support against improving supply prospects and broader demand concerns.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoO Petróleo Bruto (CL) atingirá__ até o final de junho?
$27,134,013 Vol.
↑ $200
1%
↑ $175
1%
↑ $150
1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
2%
↑ $120
2%
↑ $115
3%
↑ $110
6%
↑ $105
13%
↑ $100
12%
↑ $95
24%
↓ $80
68%
↓ $75
29%
↓ $70
18%
↓ $60
2%
↓ $55
1%
↓ $52
1%
↓ $50
1%
↓ $47
<1%
↓ $45
1%
↓ $40
<1%
↓ $35
<1%
$27,134,013 Vol.
↑ $200
1%
↑ $175
1%
↑ $150
1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
2%
↑ $120
2%
↑ $115
3%
↑ $110
6%
↑ $105
13%
↑ $100
12%
↑ $95
24%
↓ $80
68%
↓ $75
29%
↓ $70
18%
↓ $60
2%
↓ $55
1%
↓ $52
1%
↓ $50
1%
↓ $47
<1%
↓ $45
1%
↓ $40
<1%
↓ $35
<1%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 3, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent de-escalation hopes in U.S.-Iran talks have driven sharp declines in WTI crude futures, with prices falling to around $85 per barrel as of mid-June 2026 after trading above $95 earlier in the month. Persistent closure of the Strait of Hormuz has curtailed Middle East supply by over 10 million barrels daily, supporting large inventory draws, yet trader sentiment has shifted toward lower risk premiums amid ceasefire signals. Key near-term catalysts include weekly EIA inventory data, potential diplomatic breakthroughs before month-end, and seasonal summer demand strength. Market-implied odds reflect this uncertainty, balancing geopolitical support against improving supply prospects and broader demand concerns.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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