Polymarket traders show a razor-thin contest between $4,200-$4,600 (28.5%) and $4,600-$5,000 (26.5%) implied probabilities for June COMEX gold (GC) settlement, capturing debate over Fed policy trajectory amid hawkish undertones. June futures traded near $4,612 on April 28—down 1.75% intraday—after spot gold slipped below $4,600 for its first weekly loss in five weeks, pressured by March CPI at 3.3% year-over-year and a firmer U.S. dollar curbing rate-cut odds. Persistent central bank demand and Middle East tensions bolster higher bins, while key differentiators include May CPI data and the June FOMC dot plot, potentially altering real yield dynamics and risk appetite through quarter-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQual será o preço do ouro (GC) em junho?
Qual será o preço do ouro (GC) em junho?
$4.600-$5.000 27%
$4.200-$4.600 26.2%
$5.000-$5.400 15.7%
$3.800-$4.200 15.0%
$911,007 Vol.
$911,007 Vol.
Abaixo de US$ 3.800
6%
$3.800-$4.200
17%
$4.200-$4.600
26%
$4.600-$5.000
27%
$5.000-$5.400
10%
$5.400-$5.800
10%
$5.800-$6.200
5%
>US$6.200
4%
$4.600-$5.000 27%
$4.200-$4.600 26.2%
$5.000-$5.400 15.7%
$3.800-$4.200 15.0%
$911,007 Vol.
$911,007 Vol.
Abaixo de US$ 3.800
6%
$3.800-$4.200
17%
$4.200-$4.600
26%
$4.600-$5.000
27%
$5.000-$5.400
10%
$5.400-$5.800
10%
$5.800-$6.200
5%
>US$6.200
4%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders show a razor-thin contest between $4,200-$4,600 (28.5%) and $4,600-$5,000 (26.5%) implied probabilities for June COMEX gold (GC) settlement, capturing debate over Fed policy trajectory amid hawkish undertones. June futures traded near $4,612 on April 28—down 1.75% intraday—after spot gold slipped below $4,600 for its first weekly loss in five weeks, pressured by March CPI at 3.3% year-over-year and a firmer U.S. dollar curbing rate-cut odds. Persistent central bank demand and Middle East tensions bolster higher bins, while key differentiators include May CPI data and the June FOMC dot plot, potentially altering real yield dynamics and risk appetite through quarter-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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