Recent May 2026 CPI data at 4.2%, driven by oil prices above $100 per barrel amid Iran-related geopolitical tensions, has prompted a sharp repricing of Federal Reserve policy expectations toward higher-for-longer rates or potential hikes, elevating real yields and pressuring gold prices into a correction from January highs near $5,595. Spot gold futures now trade around $4,200–$4,300, aligning with the dominant Polymarket ranges of $4,200–$4,600 (50.3% implied probability) and $3,800–$4,200 (35.8%). The June 16–17 FOMC meeting under new Chair Kevin Warsh represents the key near-term catalyst, as any hawkish dot-plot shift could reinforce the current trader consensus on limited upside before settlement while central-bank demand offers structural support.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQual será o preço do ouro (GC) em junho?
Qual será o preço do ouro (GC) em junho?
$4.200-$4.600 50.3%
$3.800-$4.200 35.8%
$4.600-$5.000 10.2%
Abaixo de US$ 3.800 2.5%
$1,061,026 Vol.
$1,061,026 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Abaixo de US$ 3.800
3%
$3.800-$4.200
36%
$4.200-$4.600
50%
$4.600-$5.000
10%
$5.000-$5.400
1%
$5.400-$5.800
1%
$5.800-$6.200
<1%
>US$6.200
<1%
$4.200-$4.600 50.3%
$3.800-$4.200 35.8%
$4.600-$5.000 10.2%
Abaixo de US$ 3.800 2.5%
$1,061,026 Vol.
$1,061,026 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Abaixo de US$ 3.800
$244,000 Vol.
3%
$3.800-$4.200
$71,816 Vol.
36%
$4.200-$4.600
$66,136 Vol.
50%
$4.600-$5.000
$63,109 Vol.
10%
$5.000-$5.400
$79,056 Vol.
1%
$5.400-$5.800
$67,548 Vol.
1%
$5.800-$6.200
$255,731 Vol.
<1%
>US$6.200
$213,630 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Recent May 2026 CPI data at 4.2%, driven by oil prices above $100 per barrel amid Iran-related geopolitical tensions, has prompted a sharp repricing of Federal Reserve policy expectations toward higher-for-longer rates or potential hikes, elevating real yields and pressuring gold prices into a correction from January highs near $5,595. Spot gold futures now trade around $4,200–$4,300, aligning with the dominant Polymarket ranges of $4,200–$4,600 (50.3% implied probability) and $3,800–$4,200 (35.8%). The June 16–17 FOMC meeting under new Chair Kevin Warsh represents the key near-term catalyst, as any hawkish dot-plot shift could reinforce the current trader consensus on limited upside before settlement while central-bank demand offers structural support.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Volume
$1,061,026Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Recent May 2026 CPI data at 4.2%, driven by oil prices above $100 per barrel amid Iran-related geopolitical tensions, has prompted a sharp repricing of Federal Reserve policy expectations toward higher-for-longer rates or potential hikes, elevating real yields and pressuring gold prices into a correction from January highs near $5,595. Spot gold futures now trade around $4,200–$4,300, aligning with the dominant Polymarket ranges of $4,200–$4,600 (50.3% implied probability) and $3,800–$4,200 (35.8%). The June 16–17 FOMC meeting under new Chair Kevin Warsh represents the key near-term catalyst, as any hawkish dot-plot shift could reinforce the current trader consensus on limited upside before settlement while central-bank demand offers structural support.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Volume
$1,061,026Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent May 2026 CPI data at 4.2%, driven by oil prices above $100 per barrel amid Iran-related geopolitical tensions, has prompted a sharp repricing of Federal Reserve policy expectations toward higher-for-longer rates or potential hikes, elevating real yields and pressuring gold prices into a correction from January highs near $5,595. Spot gold futures now trade around $4,200–$4,300, aligning with the dominant Polymarket ranges of $4,200–$4,600 (50.3% implied probability) and $3,800–$4,200 (35.8%). The June 16–17 FOMC meeting under new Chair Kevin Warsh represents the key near-term catalyst, as any hawkish dot-plot shift could reinforce the current trader consensus on limited upside before settlement while central-bank demand offers structural support.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions