Polymarket traders assign a 27.5% implied probability to Gold (GC) June settlement in the $4,600-$5,000 range, narrowly ahead of $4,200-$4,600 at 25.2%, reflecting a closely contested sentiment as front-month futures hover near $4,640 amid a rebound from one-month lows. Steady Federal Reserve policy at 3.5%-3.75%—with no 2026 cuts so far and futures pricing potential hikes—bolsters gold's appeal as a non-yielding safe haven versus low real Treasury yields, while ongoing central bank purchases (e.g., Uzbekistan's streak) and geopolitical monitoring counterbalance USD index resilience. Key swing factors include April CPI data revisions and the next FOMC meeting, where hotter inflation could lift prices toward $5,000 analyst targets like J.P. Morgan's $5,400 end-2026 forecast, versus stronger dollar risks pulling toward $4,200 support.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQual será o preço do ouro (GC) em junho?
Qual será o preço do ouro (GC) em junho?
$4.600-$5.000 28%
$4.200-$4.600 24.8%
$5.000-$5.400 14.8%
$3.800-$4.200 12.2%
$914,310 Vol.
$914,310 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Abaixo de US$ 3.800
7%
$3.800-$4.200
12%
$4.200-$4.600
25%
$4.600-$5.000
28%
$5.000-$5.400
15%
$5.400-$5.800
10%
$5.800-$6.200
4%
>US$6.200
4%
$4.600-$5.000 28%
$4.200-$4.600 24.8%
$5.000-$5.400 14.8%
$3.800-$4.200 12.2%
$914,310 Vol.
$914,310 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Abaixo de US$ 3.800
$222,117 Vol.
7%
$3.800-$4.200
$48,249 Vol.
12%
$4.200-$4.600
$52,179 Vol.
25%
$4.600-$5.000
$46,846 Vol.
28%
$5.000-$5.400
$56,530 Vol.
15%
$5.400-$5.800
$51,389 Vol.
10%
$5.800-$6.200
$244,504 Vol.
4%
>US$6.200
$192,497 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Polymarket traders assign a 27.5% implied probability to Gold (GC) June settlement in the $4,600-$5,000 range, narrowly ahead of $4,200-$4,600 at 25.2%, reflecting a closely contested sentiment as front-month futures hover near $4,640 amid a rebound from one-month lows. Steady Federal Reserve policy at 3.5%-3.75%—with no 2026 cuts so far and futures pricing potential hikes—bolsters gold's appeal as a non-yielding safe haven versus low real Treasury yields, while ongoing central bank purchases (e.g., Uzbekistan's streak) and geopolitical monitoring counterbalance USD index resilience. Key swing factors include April CPI data revisions and the next FOMC meeting, where hotter inflation could lift prices toward $5,000 analyst targets like J.P. Morgan's $5,400 end-2026 forecast, versus stronger dollar risks pulling toward $4,200 support.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Volume
$914,310Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Polymarket traders assign a 27.5% implied probability to Gold (GC) June settlement in the $4,600-$5,000 range, narrowly ahead of $4,200-$4,600 at 25.2%, reflecting a closely contested sentiment as front-month futures hover near $4,640 amid a rebound from one-month lows. Steady Federal Reserve policy at 3.5%-3.75%—with no 2026 cuts so far and futures pricing potential hikes—bolsters gold's appeal as a non-yielding safe haven versus low real Treasury yields, while ongoing central bank purchases (e.g., Uzbekistan's streak) and geopolitical monitoring counterbalance USD index resilience. Key swing factors include April CPI data revisions and the next FOMC meeting, where hotter inflation could lift prices toward $5,000 analyst targets like J.P. Morgan's $5,400 end-2026 forecast, versus stronger dollar risks pulling toward $4,200 support.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Volume
$914,310Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders assign a 27.5% implied probability to Gold (GC) June settlement in the $4,600-$5,000 range, narrowly ahead of $4,200-$4,600 at 25.2%, reflecting a closely contested sentiment as front-month futures hover near $4,640 amid a rebound from one-month lows. Steady Federal Reserve policy at 3.5%-3.75%—with no 2026 cuts so far and futures pricing potential hikes—bolsters gold's appeal as a non-yielding safe haven versus low real Treasury yields, while ongoing central bank purchases (e.g., Uzbekistan's streak) and geopolitical monitoring counterbalance USD index resilience. Key swing factors include April CPI data revisions and the next FOMC meeting, where hotter inflation could lift prices toward $5,000 analyst targets like J.P. Morgan's $5,400 end-2026 forecast, versus stronger dollar risks pulling toward $4,200 support.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions