Recent U.S. inflation data showing May CPI at 4.2%—the highest pace in three years—along with robust employment figures have shifted trader expectations toward a potential Federal Reserve rate hike by year-end or prolonged higher rates, elevating real Treasury yields and increasing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold. This dynamic has driven gold futures (GC) lower from January peaks near $5,500, with spot prices trading around $4,200–$4,240 as of mid-June amid profit-taking and technical weakness. Geopolitical tensions supporting safe-haven demand and strong central bank buying provide a floor, yet near-term sentiment remains sensitive to the June 16–17 FOMC outcome and any further hawkish signals on monetary policy.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoOuro (GC) acima de ___ final de junho?
Ouro (GC) acima de ___ final de junho?
$118,866 Vol.
30 jun 2026
US$8.000
<1%
US$7.000
<1%
US$6.500
1%
US$ 6.200
1%
US$ 6.000
1%
US$ 5.800
1%
US$ 5.600
1%
US$ 5.400
2%
US$5.200
2%
US$5.000
3%
US$4.800
5%
$4.600
10%
$118,866 Vol.
US$8.000
$3,501 Vol.
<1%
US$7.000
$28,203 Vol.
<1%
US$6.500
$3,930 Vol.
1%
US$ 6.200
$11,079 Vol.
1%
US$ 6.000
$7,762 Vol.
1%
US$ 5.800
$12,528 Vol.
1%
US$ 5.600
$10,833 Vol.
1%
US$ 5.400
$5,850 Vol.
2%
US$5.200
$6,497 Vol.
2%
US$5.000
$4,494 Vol.
3%
US$4.800
$11,628 Vol.
5%
$4.600
$12,562 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Recent U.S. inflation data showing May CPI at 4.2%—the highest pace in three years—along with robust employment figures have shifted trader expectations toward a potential Federal Reserve rate hike by year-end or prolonged higher rates, elevating real Treasury yields and increasing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold. This dynamic has driven gold futures (GC) lower from January peaks near $5,500, with spot prices trading around $4,200–$4,240 as of mid-June amid profit-taking and technical weakness. Geopolitical tensions supporting safe-haven demand and strong central bank buying provide a floor, yet near-term sentiment remains sensitive to the June 16–17 FOMC outcome and any further hawkish signals on monetary policy.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Volume
$118,866Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Recent U.S. inflation data showing May CPI at 4.2%—the highest pace in three years—along with robust employment figures have shifted trader expectations toward a potential Federal Reserve rate hike by year-end or prolonged higher rates, elevating real Treasury yields and increasing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold. This dynamic has driven gold futures (GC) lower from January peaks near $5,500, with spot prices trading around $4,200–$4,240 as of mid-June amid profit-taking and technical weakness. Geopolitical tensions supporting safe-haven demand and strong central bank buying provide a floor, yet near-term sentiment remains sensitive to the June 16–17 FOMC outcome and any further hawkish signals on monetary policy.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Volume
$118,866Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. inflation data showing May CPI at 4.2%—the highest pace in three years—along with robust employment figures have shifted trader expectations toward a potential Federal Reserve rate hike by year-end or prolonged higher rates, elevating real Treasury yields and increasing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold. This dynamic has driven gold futures (GC) lower from January peaks near $5,500, with spot prices trading around $4,200–$4,240 as of mid-June amid profit-taking and technical weakness. Geopolitical tensions supporting safe-haven demand and strong central bank buying provide a floor, yet near-term sentiment remains sensitive to the June 16–17 FOMC outcome and any further hawkish signals on monetary policy.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions