Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 46.5% implied probability for WTI Crude Oil (CL) settling above $84 in June 2026, with June futures trading near $84 amid a sharp 11% weekly plunge to $85.50 in the front month, driven by fading geopolitical risk premiums from eased Middle East tensions including Iran-related concerns. Countering the selloff, the latest EIA data revealed a 900,000-barrel crude inventory draw for the week ended April 10, signaling supply tightness, while OPEC+'s modest 206,000 bpd output hike for May limits downward pressure on prices. Steady global demand forecasts of 1.38 million bpd growth in 2026 underpin the bullish tilt, with traders eyeing next week's EIA petroleum status report and potential OPEC+ policy tweaks as key catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQual será o preço do Petróleo Bruto (CL) em junho?
Qual será o preço do Petróleo Bruto (CL) em junho?
>US$84 47%
$77-$84 22%
$70-$77 17.1%
$63-$70 11.1%
$135,680 Vol.
$135,680 Vol.
<$42
2%
$42-$49
2%
$49-$56
2%
$56-$63
4%
$63-$70
11%
$70-$77
17%
$77-$84
22%
>US$84
47%
>US$84 47%
$77-$84 22%
$70-$77 17.1%
$63-$70 11.1%
$135,680 Vol.
$135,680 Vol.
<$42
2%
$42-$49
2%
$49-$56
2%
$56-$63
4%
$63-$70
11%
$70-$77
17%
$77-$84
22%
>US$84
47%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 46.5% implied probability for WTI Crude Oil (CL) settling above $84 in June 2026, with June futures trading near $84 amid a sharp 11% weekly plunge to $85.50 in the front month, driven by fading geopolitical risk premiums from eased Middle East tensions including Iran-related concerns. Countering the selloff, the latest EIA data revealed a 900,000-barrel crude inventory draw for the week ended April 10, signaling supply tightness, while OPEC+'s modest 206,000 bpd output hike for May limits downward pressure on prices. Steady global demand forecasts of 1.38 million bpd growth in 2026 underpin the bullish tilt, with traders eyeing next week's EIA petroleum status report and potential OPEC+ policy tweaks as key catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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