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Eleições·Primárias

FL-23 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

icon for FL-23 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas
Eleições·Primárias

FL-23 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

Lois Frankel 91%

Oliver Adams Larkin 3.8%

Victoria Doyle 1.5%

Jared Moskowitz <1%

Polymarket

$34,024 Vol.

Lois Frankel 91%

Oliver Adams Larkin 3.8%

Victoria Doyle 1.5%

Jared Moskowitz <1%

Polymarket

$34,024 Vol.

Lois Frankel

$2,750 Vol.

91%

Oliver Adams Larkin

$14,002 Vol.

4%

Victoria Doyle

$1,439 Vol.

1%

Jared Moskowitz

$15,833 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Lois Frankel holds a commanding position in the August 18, 2026 Democratic primary for Florida’s 23rd Congressional District.** As the incumbent representative who announced her candidacy after redistricting shifted much of her prior constituency into the new district, Frankel benefits from established name recognition, strong fundraising totals exceeding $1.8 million, and the structural advantages typical of sitting members in safely Democratic seats. Minor candidates Victoria Doyle, Oliver Adams Larkin, and Jared Moskowitz trail significantly in both visibility and resources, with Doyle reporting roughly $168,000 raised. The filing deadline passed in April without major additional entrants, and no recent polling or events have altered the consensus around Frankel’s path to the nomination. Traders price in low likelihood of upset given the short timeline to the primary and the absence of competitive momentum for challengers.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$34,024
Data de Término
18 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Lois Frankel holds a commanding position in the August 18, 2026 Democratic primary for Florida’s 23rd Congressional District.** As the incumbent representative who announced her candidacy after redistricting shifted much of her prior constituency into the new district, Frankel benefits from established name recognition, strong fundraising totals exceeding $1.8 million, and the structural advantages typical of sitting members in safely Democratic seats. Minor candidates Victoria Doyle, Oliver Adams Larkin, and Jared Moskowitz trail significantly in both visibility and resources, with Doyle reporting roughly $168,000 raised. The filing deadline passed in April without major additional entrants, and no recent polling or events have altered the consensus around Frankel’s path to the nomination. Traders price in low likelihood of upset given the short timeline to the primary and the absence of competitive momentum for challengers.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$34,024
Data de Término
18 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"FL-23 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Lois Frankel" at 91%, followed by "Oliver Adams Larkin" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 91¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "FL-23 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" has generated $34K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 19, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "FL-23 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "FL-23 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is "Lois Frankel" at 91%, meaning the market assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Oliver Adams Larkin" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "FL-23 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.