Current ensemble forecasts from European models indicate a mild summer pattern over the Netherlands, with Amsterdam's July 13 maximum most likely reaching 26–28°C due to moderate southerly advection under a weak high-pressure ridge and limited cloud cover. This aligns with climatological norms slightly above the 22–24°C July average while falling well short of heatwave thresholds. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values with low spread, though minor shifts in steering flow or diurnal heating could adjust the peak by 1–2°C before resolution. Traders price 27°C highest at 35.5% implied probability, reflecting the consensus central tendency and reduced tail risks for extremes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 13 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 13 de julho?
25°C 100.0%
24°C ou menos <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$49,361 Vol.
$49,361 Vol.
13 jul 2026
24°C ou menos
Não
25°C
Sim
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C
Não
33°C
Não
34°C ou mais
Não
25°C 100.0%
24°C ou menos <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$49,361 Vol.
$49,361 Vol.
13 jul 2026
24°C ou menos
$16,578 Vol.
Não
25°C
$9,532 Vol.
Sim
26°C
$5,113 Vol.
Não
27°C
$4,316 Vol.
Não
28°C
$6,413 Vol.
Não
29°C
$3,114 Vol.
Não
30°C
$2,152 Vol.
Não
31°C
$609 Vol.
Não
32°C
$566 Vol.
Não
33°C
$765 Vol.
Não
34°C ou mais
$203 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from European models indicate a mild summer pattern over the Netherlands, with Amsterdam's July 13 maximum most likely reaching 26–28°C due to moderate southerly advection under a weak high-pressure ridge and limited cloud cover. This aligns with climatological norms slightly above the 22–24°C July average while falling well short of heatwave thresholds. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values with low spread, though minor shifts in steering flow or diurnal heating could adjust the peak by 1–2°C before resolution. Traders price 27°C highest at 35.5% implied probability, reflecting the consensus central tendency and reduced tail risks for extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$49,361Data de Término
13 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from European models indicate a mild summer pattern over the Netherlands, with Amsterdam's July 13 maximum most likely reaching 26–28°C due to moderate southerly advection under a weak high-pressure ridge and limited cloud cover. This aligns with climatological norms slightly above the 22–24°C July average while falling well short of heatwave thresholds. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values with low spread, though minor shifts in steering flow or diurnal heating could adjust the peak by 1–2°C before resolution. Traders price 27°C highest at 35.5% implied probability, reflecting the consensus central tendency and reduced tail risks for extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$49,361Data de Término
13 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Current ensemble forecasts from European models indicate a mild summer pattern over the Netherlands, with Amsterdam's July 13 maximum most likely reaching 26–28°C due to moderate southerly advection under a weak high-pressure ridge and limited cloud cover. This aligns with climatological norms slightly above the 22–24°C July average while falling well short of heatwave thresholds. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values with low spread, though minor shifts in steering flow or diurnal heating could adjust the peak by 1–2°C before resolution. Traders price 27°C highest at 35.5% implied probability, reflecting the consensus central tendency and reduced tail risks for extremes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions