Recent European model consensus from sources like ECMWF and national services points to a mild early-July pattern for Amsterdam, with maximum temperatures most likely peaking between 20–23°C on July 5 amid moderate Atlantic flow and limited diurnal heating. Seasonal climatology places average July highs near 21–22°C, providing the baseline that aligns with the market’s clustered probabilities around these values. Key variables include evolving cloud cover and precipitation timing that could cap or boost peaks by 1–2°C, plus steering patterns that determine whether warmer southerly air intrudes. High uncertainty stems from typical short-range variability in mid-latitude summer forecasts, with next model runs and observational updates expected to refine the range before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 5 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 5 de julho?
20°C 100.0%
17°C ou menos <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$59,651 Vol.
$59,651 Vol.
5 jul 2026
17°C ou menos
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Sim
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C ou mais
Não
20°C 100.0%
17°C ou menos <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$59,651 Vol.
$59,651 Vol.
5 jul 2026
17°C ou menos
$3,183 Vol.
Não
18°C
$2,677 Vol.
Não
19°C
$4,663 Vol.
Não
20°C
$13,886 Vol.
Sim
21°C
$15,080 Vol.
Não
22°C
$7,584 Vol.
Não
23°C
$6,108 Vol.
Não
24°C
$3,004 Vol.
Não
25°C
$1,987 Vol.
Não
26°C
$755 Vol.
Não
27°C ou mais
$725 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model consensus from sources like ECMWF and national services points to a mild early-July pattern for Amsterdam, with maximum temperatures most likely peaking between 20–23°C on July 5 amid moderate Atlantic flow and limited diurnal heating. Seasonal climatology places average July highs near 21–22°C, providing the baseline that aligns with the market’s clustered probabilities around these values. Key variables include evolving cloud cover and precipitation timing that could cap or boost peaks by 1–2°C, plus steering patterns that determine whether warmer southerly air intrudes. High uncertainty stems from typical short-range variability in mid-latitude summer forecasts, with next model runs and observational updates expected to refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$59,651Data de Término
5 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model consensus from sources like ECMWF and national services points to a mild early-July pattern for Amsterdam, with maximum temperatures most likely peaking between 20–23°C on July 5 amid moderate Atlantic flow and limited diurnal heating. Seasonal climatology places average July highs near 21–22°C, providing the baseline that aligns with the market’s clustered probabilities around these values. Key variables include evolving cloud cover and precipitation timing that could cap or boost peaks by 1–2°C, plus steering patterns that determine whether warmer southerly air intrudes. High uncertainty stems from typical short-range variability in mid-latitude summer forecasts, with next model runs and observational updates expected to refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$59,651Data de Término
5 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent European model consensus from sources like ECMWF and national services points to a mild early-July pattern for Amsterdam, with maximum temperatures most likely peaking between 20–23°C on July 5 amid moderate Atlantic flow and limited diurnal heating. Seasonal climatology places average July highs near 21–22°C, providing the baseline that aligns with the market’s clustered probabilities around these values. Key variables include evolving cloud cover and precipitation timing that could cap or boost peaks by 1–2°C, plus steering patterns that determine whether warmer southerly air intrudes. High uncertainty stems from typical short-range variability in mid-latitude summer forecasts, with next model runs and observational updates expected to refine the range before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions