Forecast model guidance from the ECMWF and regional centers like KNMI shows a mild early-July pattern for Amsterdam on July 6, 2026, with daytime maxima most likely in the 20–23°C range amid light westerly flow and variable cloud cover over the North Sea. Ensemble spreads highlight modest uncertainty from potential sunny breaks versus increased marine influence or northerly shifts that could cap readings near 20–21°C, keeping higher outcomes like 24°C+ at low probability. This aligns with climatological averages near 21–22°C for the period and recent short-range runs clustering tightly around these values. Updated model outputs and official briefings closer to the date will further refine resolution criteria based on the daily maximum observation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 6 de julho?
26°C ou mais 100.0%
16°C ou menos <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$82,772 Vol.
$82,772 Vol.
16°C ou menos
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C ou mais
Sim
26°C ou mais 100.0%
16°C ou menos <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$82,772 Vol.
$82,772 Vol.
16°C ou menos
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C ou mais
Sim
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Forecast model guidance from the ECMWF and regional centers like KNMI shows a mild early-July pattern for Amsterdam on July 6, 2026, with daytime maxima most likely in the 20–23°C range amid light westerly flow and variable cloud cover over the North Sea. Ensemble spreads highlight modest uncertainty from potential sunny breaks versus increased marine influence or northerly shifts that could cap readings near 20–21°C, keeping higher outcomes like 24°C+ at low probability. This aligns with climatological averages near 21–22°C for the period and recent short-range runs clustering tightly around these values. Updated model outputs and official briefings closer to the date will further refine resolution criteria based on the daily maximum observation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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