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icon for Temperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 6 de julho?

Temperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 6 de julho?

icon for Temperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 6 de julho?

Temperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 6 de julho?

26°C ou mais 100.0%

16°C ou menos <1%

17°C <1%

18°C <1%

Polymarket

$82,772 Vol.

26°C ou mais 100.0%

16°C ou menos <1%

17°C <1%

18°C <1%

Polymarket

$82,772 Vol.

16°C ou menos

$1,986 Vol.

Não

17°C

$1,181 Vol.

Não

18°C

$1,496 Vol.

Não

19°C

$3,996 Vol.

Não

20°C

$3,651 Vol.

Não

21°C

$4,354 Vol.

Não

22°C

$8,358 Vol.

Não

23°C

$16,794 Vol.

Não

24°C

$13,930 Vol.

Não

25°C

$13,157 Vol.

Não

26°C ou mais

$13,869 Vol.

Sim

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast model guidance from the ECMWF and regional centers like KNMI shows a mild early-July pattern for Amsterdam on July 6, 2026, with daytime maxima most likely in the 20–23°C range amid light westerly flow and variable cloud cover over the North Sea. Ensemble spreads highlight modest uncertainty from potential sunny breaks versus increased marine influence or northerly shifts that could cap readings near 20–21°C, keeping higher outcomes like 24°C+ at low probability. This aligns with climatological averages near 21–22°C for the period and recent short-range runs clustering tightly around these values. Updated model outputs and official briefings closer to the date will further refine resolution criteria based on the daily maximum observation.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$82,772
Data de Término
6 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast model guidance from the ECMWF and regional centers like KNMI shows a mild early-July pattern for Amsterdam on July 6, 2026, with daytime maxima most likely in the 20–23°C range amid light westerly flow and variable cloud cover over the North Sea. Ensemble spreads highlight modest uncertainty from potential sunny breaks versus increased marine influence or northerly shifts that could cap readings near 20–21°C, keeping higher outcomes like 24°C+ at low probability. This aligns with climatological averages near 21–22°C for the period and recent short-range runs clustering tightly around these values. Updated model outputs and official briefings closer to the date will further refine resolution criteria based on the daily maximum observation.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$82,772
Data de Término
6 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Temperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 6 de julho?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "26°C ou mais" at 100%, followed by "16°C ou menos" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Temperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 6 de julho?" has generated $82.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Temperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 6 de julho?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Temperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 6 de julho?" is "26°C ou mais" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "16°C ou menos" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Temperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 6 de julho?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.