Recent official forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS, along with KNMI-aligned guidance, indicate a high near 18–19°C for Amsterdam on September 21 under stable high pressure and northwesterly flow. Mostly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal precipitation risk support this range, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 18.5°C. The market’s strong consensus on 19°C reflects these consistent model outputs and limited day-to-day variability, while the smaller probabilities for 20°C or higher account for possible brief afternoon warming if cloud cover thins more than expected. Updated runs overnight or early on the 21st will provide the final observational tiebreaker before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 21 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 21 de setembro?
19°C 64%
18°C 22%
20°C 15%
21°C 2%
NOVO
NOVO
21 set 2026
13°C ou menos
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
22%
19°C
64%
20°C
15%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C ou mais
1%
19°C 64%
18°C 22%
20°C 15%
21°C 2%
NOVO
NOVO
21 set 2026
13°C ou menos
$267 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$231 Vol.
1%
15°C
$79 Vol.
1%
16°C
$247 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$324 Vol.
2%
18°C
$1,139 Vol.
22%
19°C
$1,759 Vol.
64%
20°C
$972 Vol.
15%
21°C
$408 Vol.
2%
22°C
$13 Vol.
1%
23°C ou mais
$13 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS, along with KNMI-aligned guidance, indicate a high near 18–19°C for Amsterdam on September 21 under stable high pressure and northwesterly flow. Mostly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal precipitation risk support this range, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 18.5°C. The market’s strong consensus on 19°C reflects these consistent model outputs and limited day-to-day variability, while the smaller probabilities for 20°C or higher account for possible brief afternoon warming if cloud cover thins more than expected. Updated runs overnight or early on the 21st will provide the final observational tiebreaker before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$5,453Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS, along with KNMI-aligned guidance, indicate a high near 18–19°C for Amsterdam on September 21 under stable high pressure and northwesterly flow. Mostly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal precipitation risk support this range, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 18.5°C. The market’s strong consensus on 19°C reflects these consistent model outputs and limited day-to-day variability, while the smaller probabilities for 20°C or higher account for possible brief afternoon warming if cloud cover thins more than expected. Updated runs overnight or early on the 21st will provide the final observational tiebreaker before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,453Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS, along with KNMI-aligned guidance, indicate a high near 18–19°C for Amsterdam on September 21 under stable high pressure and northwesterly flow. Mostly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal precipitation risk support this range, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 18.5°C. The market’s strong consensus on 19°C reflects these consistent model outputs and limited day-to-day variability, while the smaller probabilities for 20°C or higher account for possible brief afternoon warming if cloud cover thins more than expected. Updated runs overnight or early on the 21st will provide the final observational tiebreaker before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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