Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 11°C (26.5%) and 12°C (26.0%) as the highest temperature in Ankara on April 19, reflecting tight alignment in the latest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which project daytime highs of 10-13°C under a persistent cool air mass from northerly winds and an upper-level trough over central Anatolia. Recent observations show April 15-17 highs rebounding to around 11°C after earlier cool spells near 9°C, but incoming showers and cloud cover on April 18-19 cap warming potential, diverging from mid-April climatological averages of 15-17°C. Key differentiators include model spread on afternoon clearing and exact temperature advection; new 12Z runs expected within 24 hours could refine odds further.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Ankara on April 19?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 19?
11°C 27%
12°C 25%
13°C 18%
10°C 12%
4°C or below
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
2%
7°C
7%
8°C
6%
9°C
11%
10°C
12%
11°C
27%
12°C
25%
13°C
18%
14°C or higher
9%
11°C 27%
12°C 25%
13°C 18%
10°C 12%
4°C or below
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
2%
7°C
7%
8°C
6%
9°C
11%
10°C
12%
11°C
27%
12°C
25%
13°C
18%
14°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 11°C (26.5%) and 12°C (26.0%) as the highest temperature in Ankara on April 19, reflecting tight alignment in the latest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which project daytime highs of 10-13°C under a persistent cool air mass from northerly winds and an upper-level trough over central Anatolia. Recent observations show April 15-17 highs rebounding to around 11°C after earlier cool spells near 9°C, but incoming showers and cloud cover on April 18-19 cap warming potential, diverging from mid-April climatological averages of 15-17°C. Key differentiators include model spread on afternoon clearing and exact temperature advection; new 12Z runs expected within 24 hours could refine odds further.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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