Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs for Ankara center daily maximum temperatures near 31–33°C on July 13, with tight spread reflecting stable high-pressure influence over the Anatolian plateau and minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C, as traders weigh model agreement against typical July climatology of 29–32°C highs and local factors such as diurnal heating rates and boundary-layer mixing. Minor divergences in wind direction or timing of any subtle trough could shift the peak by 1–2°C, while official Turkish Meteorological Service observations will resolve the exact value. Updated model cycles over the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Ancara em 13 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Ancara em 13 de julho?
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$50,199 Vol.
$50,199 Vol.
13 jul 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$50,199 Vol.
$50,199 Vol.
13 jul 2026
28°C or below
$1,967 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$436 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,221 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$14,440 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$11,886 Vol.
100%
33°C
$7,923 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$9,321 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$867 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$274 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$461 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$401 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs for Ankara center daily maximum temperatures near 31–33°C on July 13, with tight spread reflecting stable high-pressure influence over the Anatolian plateau and minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C, as traders weigh model agreement against typical July climatology of 29–32°C highs and local factors such as diurnal heating rates and boundary-layer mixing. Minor divergences in wind direction or timing of any subtle trough could shift the peak by 1–2°C, while official Turkish Meteorological Service observations will resolve the exact value. Updated model cycles over the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$50,199Data de Término
13 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs for Ankara center daily maximum temperatures near 31–33°C on July 13, with tight spread reflecting stable high-pressure influence over the Anatolian plateau and minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C, as traders weigh model agreement against typical July climatology of 29–32°C highs and local factors such as diurnal heating rates and boundary-layer mixing. Minor divergences in wind direction or timing of any subtle trough could shift the peak by 1–2°C, while official Turkish Meteorological Service observations will resolve the exact value. Updated model cycles over the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$50,199Data de Término
13 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs for Ankara center daily maximum temperatures near 31–33°C on July 13, with tight spread reflecting stable high-pressure influence over the Anatolian plateau and minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected. This consensus drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C, as traders weigh model agreement against typical July climatology of 29–32°C highs and local factors such as diurnal heating rates and boundary-layer mixing. Minor divergences in wind direction or timing of any subtle trough could shift the peak by 1–2°C, while official Turkish Meteorological Service observations will resolve the exact value. Updated model cycles over the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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