Marine layer depth and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific dominate Los Angeles maximum temperatures on July 13, with National Weather Service guidance indicating a moderate inversion likely capping official station readings near 74–77°F. Recent model consensus favors this range at key reporting sites, aligning with the market’s near-even split between the 74–75°F (34.5%) and 76–77°F (34.0%) brackets. Subtle differences in low-level moisture, wind direction, and marine layer persistence introduce the main uncertainty, as a stronger layer would suppress readings by 1–2°F while modest weakening allows marginal warming to the upper 70s. Updated NWS afternoon forecasts and station observations will resolve the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Los Angeles em 13 de julho?
74-75°F 100.0%
67°F ou menos <1%
20-21°C <1%
70-71°F <1%
$59,215 Vol.
$59,215 Vol.
67°F ou menos
Não
20-21°C
Não
70-71°F
Não
72-73°F
Não
74-75°F
Sim
76-77°F
Não
78-79°F
Não
80-81°F
Não
82-83°F
Não
84-85°F
Não
86°F ou mais
Não
74-75°F 100.0%
67°F ou menos <1%
20-21°C <1%
70-71°F <1%
$59,215 Vol.
$59,215 Vol.
67°F ou menos
Não
20-21°C
Não
70-71°F
Não
72-73°F
Não
74-75°F
Sim
76-77°F
Não
78-79°F
Não
80-81°F
Não
82-83°F
Não
84-85°F
Não
86°F ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Marine layer depth and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific dominate Los Angeles maximum temperatures on July 13, with National Weather Service guidance indicating a moderate inversion likely capping official station readings near 74–77°F. Recent model consensus favors this range at key reporting sites, aligning with the market’s near-even split between the 74–75°F (34.5%) and 76–77°F (34.0%) brackets. Subtle differences in low-level moisture, wind direction, and marine layer persistence introduce the main uncertainty, as a stronger layer would suppress readings by 1–2°F while modest weakening allows marginal warming to the upper 70s. Updated NWS afternoon forecasts and station observations will resolve the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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