Numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), alongside guidance from Turkey’s State Meteorological Service, have converged on a daytime maximum of 25°C for Ankara on June 2 under mostly sunny conditions with light winds. This strong model consensus, aligned with climatological norms for early June in the region, underpins the market’s near-certain implied probability on that exact outcome. Realistic challenges remain limited but could arise from last-minute forecast revisions, localized urban heat island effects at official measurement sites, or unexpected cloud cover reducing insolation, though current ensemble spreads show minimal deviation around the 25°C threshold.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Ankara on June 2?
Highest temperature in Ankara on June 2?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$58,312 Vol.
$58,312 Vol.
2 jun 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$58,312 Vol.
$58,312 Vol.
2 jun 2026
19°C or below
$281 Vol.
No
20°C
$835 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,401 Vol.
No
22°C
$2,260 Vol.
No
23°C
$6,636 Vol.
No
24°C
$6,683 Vol.
No
25°C
$16,748 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$12,687 Vol.
No
27°C
$6,323 Vol.
No
28°C
$3,244 Vol.
No
29°C or higher
$1,214 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), alongside guidance from Turkey’s State Meteorological Service, have converged on a daytime maximum of 25°C for Ankara on June 2 under mostly sunny conditions with light winds. This strong model consensus, aligned with climatological norms for early June in the region, underpins the market’s near-certain implied probability on that exact outcome. Realistic challenges remain limited but could arise from last-minute forecast revisions, localized urban heat island effects at official measurement sites, or unexpected cloud cover reducing insolation, though current ensemble spreads show minimal deviation around the 25°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: May 31, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$58,312Data de Término
2 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
May 31, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), alongside guidance from Turkey’s State Meteorological Service, have converged on a daytime maximum of 25°C for Ankara on June 2 under mostly sunny conditions with light winds. This strong model consensus, aligned with climatological norms for early June in the region, underpins the market’s near-certain implied probability on that exact outcome. Realistic challenges remain limited but could arise from last-minute forecast revisions, localized urban heat island effects at official measurement sites, or unexpected cloud cover reducing insolation, though current ensemble spreads show minimal deviation around the 25°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$58,312Data de Término
2 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
May 31, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS), alongside guidance from Turkey’s State Meteorological Service, have converged on a daytime maximum of 25°C for Ankara on June 2 under mostly sunny conditions with light winds. This strong model consensus, aligned with climatological norms for early June in the region, underpins the market’s near-certain implied probability on that exact outcome. Realistic challenges remain limited but could arise from last-minute forecast revisions, localized urban heat island effects at official measurement sites, or unexpected cloud cover reducing insolation, though current ensemble spreads show minimal deviation around the 25°C threshold.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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