Official observations from Esenboğa International Airport station (LTAC), aggregated by Wunderground from METAR reports, confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 21°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent cloud cover, intermittent showers, and thunderstorms—forecast by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM)—suppressed daytime heating despite mild southerly flows, aligning with early May climatology where Ankara highs typically average 20-22°C amid transitional spring patterns. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified hourly data; challenges would require rare measurement revisions from primary sources, though model post-analysis and satellite imagery corroborate the cap at 21°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Ankara on May 9?
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$67,988 Vol.
$67,988 Vol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$67,988 Vol.
$67,988 Vol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 7, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Official observations from Esenboğa International Airport station (LTAC), aggregated by Wunderground from METAR reports, confirm Ankara's highest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 21°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent cloud cover, intermittent showers, and thunderstorms—forecast by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM)—suppressed daytime heating despite mild southerly flows, aligning with early May climatology where Ankara highs typically average 20-22°C amid transitional spring patterns. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified hourly data; challenges would require rare measurement revisions from primary sources, though model post-analysis and satellite imagery corroborate the cap at 21°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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